Trader sentiment on the S&P 500’s end-2026 close remains closely divided, with the three leading buckets (>8,000 at 26%, 7,000–7,500 at 23.5%, and 7,500–8,000 at 21%) reflecting Wall Street’s range of year-end targets clustered between roughly 7,500 and 7,800. Sustained AI-driven earnings growth, elevated corporate capital spending, and resilient U.S. GDP have lifted consensus EPS estimates, while moderating inflation and expected further Fed easing support higher valuations. Offsetting factors include potential margin compression, geopolitical risks, and uncertainty over the pace of productivity gains, keeping implied probabilities distributed across the 7,000–8,000 zone rather than converging on a single outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué cerrará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de 2026?
¿Qué cerrará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de 2026?
>$8,000 27%
$7,000-$7,500 24%
$7,500-$8,000 21%
$6,000-$6,500 13%
$28,056 Vol.
$28,056 Vol.
31 dic 2026
<$6,000
8%
$6,000-$6,500
13%
$6,500-$7,000
12%
$7,000-$7,500
24%
$7,500-$8,000
21%
>$8,000
27%
>$8,000 27%
$7,000-$7,500 24%
$7,500-$8,000 21%
$6,000-$6,500 13%
$28,056 Vol.
$28,056 Vol.
31 dic 2026
<$6,000
$16,273 Vol.
8%
$6,000-$6,500
$1,641 Vol.
13%
$6,500-$7,000
$2,943 Vol.
12%
$7,000-$7,500
$1,311 Vol.
24%
$7,500-$8,000
$2,945 Vol.
21%
>$8,000
$2,943 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader sentiment on the S&P 500’s end-2026 close remains closely divided, with the three leading buckets (>8,000 at 26%, 7,000–7,500 at 23.5%, and 7,500–8,000 at 21%) reflecting Wall Street’s range of year-end targets clustered between roughly 7,500 and 7,800. Sustained AI-driven earnings growth, elevated corporate capital spending, and resilient U.S. GDP have lifted consensus EPS estimates, while moderating inflation and expected further Fed easing support higher valuations. Offsetting factors include potential margin compression, geopolitical risks, and uncertainty over the pace of productivity gains, keeping implied probabilities distributed across the 7,000–8,000 zone rather than converging on a single outcome.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado abierto: Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
Volumen
$28,056Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader sentiment on the S&P 500’s end-2026 close remains closely divided, with the three leading buckets (>8,000 at 26%, 7,000–7,500 at 23.5%, and 7,500–8,000 at 21%) reflecting Wall Street’s range of year-end targets clustered between roughly 7,500 and 7,800. Sustained AI-driven earnings growth, elevated corporate capital spending, and resilient U.S. GDP have lifted consensus EPS estimates, while moderating inflation and expected further Fed easing support higher valuations. Offsetting factors include potential margin compression, geopolitical risks, and uncertainty over the pace of productivity gains, keeping implied probabilities distributed across the 7,000–8,000 zone rather than converging on a single outcome.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volumen
$28,056Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on the S&P 500’s end-2026 close remains closely divided, with the three leading buckets (>8,000 at 26%, 7,000–7,500 at 23.5%, and 7,500–8,000 at 21%) reflecting Wall Street’s range of year-end targets clustered between roughly 7,500 and 7,800. Sustained AI-driven earnings growth, elevated corporate capital spending, and resilient U.S. GDP have lifted consensus EPS estimates, while moderating inflation and expected further Fed easing support higher valuations. Offsetting factors include potential margin compression, geopolitical risks, and uncertainty over the pace of productivity gains, keeping implied probabilities distributed across the 7,000–8,000 zone rather than converging on a single outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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