Trader sentiment for S&P 500 year-end levels hinges on de-escalation hopes in the U.S.-Iran conflict, with President Trump's recent comments on a potential quick resolution fueling a 2.9% rally Tuesday, lifting the index to around 6,500 and capping a volatile Q1 down roughly 7% year-to-date from January peaks near 7,000. Softening labor data—February unemployment at 4.4% and a 92,000 payroll drop—bolsters expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, though persistent inflation risks loom ahead of March CPI release on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC meeting. Q1 earnings growth forecasts hold at 12.5% year-over-year, supporting analyst consensus targets of 7,200-7,600 by December, implying 10-15% upside from current levels amid geopolitical uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$24,643 Vol.
31 dic 2026
↑ $9,300
5%
↑ $8,600
10%
↑ $8,200
16%
↑ $7,800
18%
↑ $7,600
23%
↑ $7,400
39%
↓ $6,200
89%
↓ $5,800
74%
↓ $5,200
36%
↓ $4,500
18%
$24,643 Vol.
↑ $9,300
$0 Vol.
5%
↑ $8,600
$1,668 Vol.
10%
↑ $8,200
$371 Vol.
16%
↑ $7,800
$354 Vol.
18%
↑ $7,600
$109 Vol.
23%
↑ $7,400
$634 Vol.
39%
↓ $6,200
$1,788 Vol.
89%
↓ $5,800
$1,491 Vol.
74%
↓ $5,200
$3,393 Vol.
36%
↓ $4,500
$6,235 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Trader sentiment for S&P 500 year-end levels hinges on de-escalation hopes in the U.S.-Iran conflict, with President Trump's recent comments on a potential quick resolution fueling a 2.9% rally Tuesday, lifting the index to around 6,500 and capping a volatile Q1 down roughly 7% year-to-date from January peaks near 7,000. Softening labor data—February unemployment at 4.4% and a 92,000 payroll drop—bolsters expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, though persistent inflation risks loom ahead of March CPI release on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC meeting. Q1 earnings growth forecasts hold at 12.5% year-over-year, supporting analyst consensus targets of 7,200-7,600 by December, implying 10-15% upside from current levels amid geopolitical uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Mercado abierto: Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Volumen
$24,643Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Trader sentiment for S&P 500 year-end levels hinges on de-escalation hopes in the U.S.-Iran conflict, with President Trump's recent comments on a potential quick resolution fueling a 2.9% rally Tuesday, lifting the index to around 6,500 and capping a volatile Q1 down roughly 7% year-to-date from January peaks near 7,000. Softening labor data—February unemployment at 4.4% and a 92,000 payroll drop—bolsters expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, though persistent inflation risks loom ahead of March CPI release on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC meeting. Q1 earnings growth forecasts hold at 12.5% year-over-year, supporting analyst consensus targets of 7,200-7,600 by December, implying 10-15% upside from current levels amid geopolitical uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volumen
$24,643Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment for S&P 500 year-end levels hinges on de-escalation hopes in the U.S.-Iran conflict, with President Trump's recent comments on a potential quick resolution fueling a 2.9% rally Tuesday, lifting the index to around 6,500 and capping a volatile Q1 down roughly 7% year-to-date from January peaks near 7,000. Softening labor data—February unemployment at 4.4% and a 92,000 payroll drop—bolsters expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, though persistent inflation risks loom ahead of March CPI release on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC meeting. Q1 earnings growth forecasts hold at 12.5% year-over-year, supporting analyst consensus targets of 7,200-7,600 by December, implying 10-15% upside from current levels amid geopolitical uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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