Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 62% probability of NVIDIA (NVDA) closing above $145 on March 31, driven primarily by robust AI chip demand and hyperscaler capital expenditure forecasts. NVDA shares trade at $141.50 amid post-earnings momentum from February 26 results, which showed data center revenue surging 93% year-over-year to $35.6 billion on Blackwell ramp-up. Key risks include U.S.-China export curbs and TSMC production hiccups from recent quakes, potentially capping supply. Upcoming catalysts: March 19 FOMC rate decision and Q1 guidance previews, with market-implied volatility at 45% signaling swing potential. Historical March closes averaged 8% gains during bull markets, but resolution hinges on the NYSE close above the strike.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$24,488 Vol.
$120
100%
$130
96%
$140
99%
$150
97%
$160
89%
$170
72%
$180
34%
$190
7%
$200
2%
$210
2%
$220
1%
$230
7%
$240
1%
$24,488 Vol.
$120
100%
$130
96%
$140
99%
$150
97%
$160
89%
$170
72%
$180
34%
$190
7%
$200
2%
$210
2%
$220
1%
$230
7%
$240
1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Mercado abierto: Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 62% probability of NVIDIA (NVDA) closing above $145 on March 31, driven primarily by robust AI chip demand and hyperscaler capital expenditure forecasts. NVDA shares trade at $141.50 amid post-earnings momentum from February 26 results, which showed data center revenue surging 93% year-over-year to $35.6 billion on Blackwell ramp-up. Key risks include U.S.-China export curbs and TSMC production hiccups from recent quakes, potentially capping supply. Upcoming catalysts: March 19 FOMC rate decision and Q1 guidance previews, with market-implied volatility at 45% signaling swing potential. Historical March closes averaged 8% gains during bull markets, but resolution hinges on the NYSE close above the strike.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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