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Elecciones·Elecciones A La Alcaldía

Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner

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Elecciones·Elecciones A La Alcaldía

Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner

Catherine Trautmann 99.0%

Jeanne Barseghian <1%

Jean-Philippe Veter <1%

Polymarket

$117,981 Vol.

Catherine Trautmann 99.0%

Jeanne Barseghian <1%

Jean-Philippe Veter <1%

Polymarket

$117,981 Vol.

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Catherine Trautmann

$77,566 Vol.

99%

Market icon

Jeanne Barseghian

$40,415 Vol.

1%

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Jean-Philippe Veter

$0 Vol.

<1%

The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$117,981
Fecha de finalización
Mar 22, 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 7:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Catherine Trautmann commands 99.1% implied probability on Polymarket as the Strasbourg mayoral election winner, driven by her recent unanimous selection as the Socialist Party (PS) candidate for the 2026 municipal vote, bolstering her frontrunner status based on historical incumbency from 1983–2001 and current polling leads among left-leaning voters. Incumbent Green mayor Jeanne Barseghian sits at 0.9%, constrained by intra-left tensions, while Les Républicains' Jean-Philippe Vetter trails at 0.1% amid weak conservative support. No major developments in the past 30 days, but trader consensus reflects PS dominance in proportional representation dynamics. Realistic challenges include a surprise EELV-PS coalition fracture, snap shifts in snap polls, or high turnout favoring greens in the first-round list vote.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Catherine Trautmann" con 99%, seguido de "Jeanne Barseghian" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 99¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner" ha generado $118K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 19, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner" es "Catherine Trautmann" con 99%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Jeanne Barseghian" con 1%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.