Market icon
Finanzas·SPX

¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de diciembre?

Market icon
Finanzas·SPX

¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de diciembre?

Mar 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

Mar 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

NEW
Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$7,388 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $9,300

$0 Vol.

6%

↑ $8,600

$0 Vol.

9%

↑ $8,200

$0 Vol.

13%

↑ $7,800

$328 Vol.

25%

↑ $7,600

$0 Vol.

37%

↑ $7,400

$0 Vol.

39%

↓ $6,400

$1,490 Vol.

96%

↓ $6,200

$1,308 Vol.

83%

↓ $5,800

$1,307 Vol.

74%

↓ $5,200

$2,955 Vol.

44%

↓ $4,500

$0 Vol.

17%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 has surged over 22% year-to-date to recent highs near 5,850, propelled by stellar Q3 earnings beats from megacap tech firms like Microsoft and Alphabet, alongside the Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut in September that solidified expectations for two additional quarter-point reductions by year-end. However, a late-week pullback to around 5,760 reflects rising Treasury yields and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, tempering risk appetite amid stretched valuations at 22 times forward earnings. Traders eye upcoming catalysts including October CPI data on Thursday, November nonfarm payrolls, the FOMC meeting on November 7, and the U.S. presidential election, all capable of swaying the index's trajectory toward or away from 6,000 by December 31. Polymarket's crowd-sourced odds capture this trader consensus backed by real capital.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volumen
$7,388
Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 has surged over 22% year-to-date to recent highs near 5,850, propelled by stellar Q3 earnings beats from megacap tech firms like Microsoft and Alphabet, alongside the Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut in September that solidified expectations for two additional quarter-point reductions by year-end. However, a late-week pullback to around 5,760 reflects rising Treasury yields and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, tempering risk appetite amid stretched valuations at 22 times forward earnings. Traders eye upcoming catalysts including October CPI data on Thursday, November nonfarm payrolls, the FOMC meeting on November 7, and the U.S. presidential election, all capable of swaying the index's trajectory toward or away from 6,000 by December 31. Polymarket's crowd-sourced odds capture this trader consensus backed by real capital.

The S&P 500 has surged over 22% year-to-date to recent highs near 5,850, propelled by stellar Q3 earnings beats from megacap tech firms like Microsoft and Alphabet, alongside the Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut in September that solidified expectations for two additional quarter-point reductions by year-end. However, a late-week pullback to around 5,760 reflects rising Treasury yields and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, tempering risk appetite amid stretched valuations at 22 times forward earnings. Traders eye upcoming catalysts including October CPI data on Thursday, November nonfarm payrolls, the FOMC meeting on November 7, and the U.S. presidential election, all capable of swaying the index's trajectory toward or away from 6,000 by December 31. Polymarket's crowd-sourced odds capture this trader consensus backed by real capital.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de diciembre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 12 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "↓ $6,600" con 100%, seguido de "↓ $6,400" con 96%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de diciembre?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jan 7, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de diciembre?", explora los 12 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de diciembre?" es "↓ $6,600" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "↓ $6,400" con 96%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de diciembre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.