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¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de junio?

Market icon

¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de junio?

$10,909 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$10,909 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $8,000

$0 Vol.

5%

↑ $7,700

$0 Vol.

9%

↑ $7,450

$0 Vol.

16%

↑ $7,300

$851 Vol.

27%

↑ $7,150

$0 Vol.

23%

↑ $7,050

$4,399 Vol.

30%

↓ $6,300

$2,293 Vol.

69%

↓ $6,000

$1,858 Vol.

53%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 index has surged to fresh all-time highs above 5,300 in late May, propelled by a tech-led rally fueled by Nvidia's blockbuster earnings and broader AI enthusiasm, alongside softer-than-expected April CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year that bolstered Federal Reserve rate cut expectations for 2024. Robust corporate earnings from megacaps have offset concerns over sticky core inflation and elevated valuations trading at 21x forward earnings. Traders eye pivotal upcoming catalysts: the June 7 nonfarm payrolls report, June 12 CPI release, and the FOMC meeting on June 11-12, where dot plot updates could signal one or more cuts this year, potentially driving further gains or sparking volatility toward the June 28 market close amid election-year uncertainties.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volumen
$10,909
Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 6, 2026, 9:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 index has surged to fresh all-time highs above 5,300 in late May, propelled by a tech-led rally fueled by Nvidia's blockbuster earnings and broader AI enthusiasm, alongside softer-than-expected April CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year that bolstered Federal Reserve rate cut expectations for 2024. Robust corporate earnings from megacaps have offset concerns over sticky core inflation and elevated valuations trading at 21x forward earnings. Traders eye pivotal upcoming catalysts: the June 7 nonfarm payrolls report, June 12 CPI release, and the FOMC meeting on June 11-12, where dot plot updates could signal one or more cuts this year, potentially driving further gains or sparking volatility toward the June 28 market close amid election-year uncertainties.

The S&P 500 index has surged to fresh all-time highs above 5,300 in late May, propelled by a tech-led rally fueled by Nvidia's blockbuster earnings and broader AI enthusiasm, alongside softer-than-expected April CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year that bolstered Federal Reserve rate cut expectations for 2024. Robust corporate earnings from megacaps have offset concerns over sticky core inflation and elevated valuations trading at 21x forward earnings. Traders eye pivotal upcoming catalysts: the June 7 nonfarm payrolls report, June 12 CPI release, and the FOMC meeting on June 11-12, where dot plot updates could signal one or more cuts this year, potentially driving further gains or sparking volatility toward the June 28 market close amid election-year uncertainties.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "↓ $6,700" con 100%, seguido de "↓ $6,600" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de junio?" ha generado $10.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 7, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de junio?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de junio?" es "↓ $6,700" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "↓ $6,600" con 100%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.