Market icon

Taquilla del tercer fin de semana del "Proyecto Ave María"

Market icon

Taquilla del tercer fin de semana del "Proyecto Ave María"

abr 6

abr 6

abr 6

abr 6

abr 6

abr 6

abr 6

abr 6

<35m 76%

35-38 millones 14%

38-41 millones 9%

>41m 6%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<35m 76%

35-38 millones 14%

38-41 millones 9%

>41m 6%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<35m

$652 Vol.

66%

35-38 millones

$271 Vol.

22%

38-41 millones

$254 Vol.

9%

>41m

$508 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Ryan Gosling's "Project Hail Mary" holds strong trader consensus for a third-weekend domestic box office under $35 million (66% implied probability), driven by its exceptional second-frame performance of $54.5 million—a mere 32% drop from the record-shattering $80.5 million opening, bolstered by an A CinemaScore, glowing reviews, and IMAX dominance that propelled the global cume past $300 million as Amazon MGM's biggest release. This legs reflect superior word-of-mouth and minimal competition from flops like "They Will Kill You," but traders anticipate a steeper 35-45% drop into the third weekend, aligning with historical patterns for sci-fi epics like "Oppenheimer" amid front-loaded theatrical runs. Easter Sunday (April 5) and school breaks offer potential uplift, with tracking whispers of $35 million-plus viability, though final Friday-Sunday tallies will clarify momentum toward a projected $265 million domestic finish.

This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$1,685
Fecha de finalización
6 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.the-numbers.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Ryan Gosling's "Project Hail Mary" holds strong trader consensus for a third-weekend domestic box office under $35 million (66% implied probability), driven by its exceptional second-frame performance of $54.5 million—a mere 32% drop from the record-shattering $80.5 million opening, bolstered by an A CinemaScore, glowing reviews, and IMAX dominance that propelled the global cume past $300 million as Amazon MGM's biggest release. This legs reflect superior word-of-mouth and minimal competition from flops like "They Will Kill You," but traders anticipate a steeper 35-45% drop into the third weekend, aligning with historical patterns for sci-fi epics like "Oppenheimer" amid front-loaded theatrical runs. Easter Sunday (April 5) and school breaks offer potential uplift, with tracking whispers of $35 million-plus viability, though final Friday-Sunday tallies will clarify momentum toward a projected $265 million domestic finish.

This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$1,685
Fecha de finalización
6 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.the-numbers.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Taquilla del tercer fin de semana del "Proyecto Ave María"" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<35m" con 66%, seguido de "35-38 millones" con 22%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 66¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 66% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Taquilla del tercer fin de semana del "Proyecto Ave María"" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 30, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Taquilla del tercer fin de semana del "Proyecto Ave María"", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Taquilla del tercer fin de semana del "Proyecto Ave María"" es "<35m" con 66%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 66% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "35-38 millones" con 22%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Taquilla del tercer fin de semana del "Proyecto Ave María"" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.