Trader consensus on Polymarket prices TISZA's seats in the April 12 parliamentary election tightly around 110–130, reflecting poll divergence amid Hungary's mixed electoral system of 106 first-past-the-post single-member districts—where incumbent Fidesz holds rural strongholds—and 93 proportional list seats allocated via D'Hondt method above a 5% threshold. Independent polls like Medián's March 25 survey show TISZA leading Fidesz 58–35% among decided voters, widening to a 23-point gap, while government-aligned Nézőpont gives Fidesz a slim edge post-Peace March rally. Undecided voters, turnout differentials favoring Fidesz base, and historical incumbent overperformance in districts keep the race competitive; final rallies, endorsements, or regional shifts could push TISZA toward majority (100 seats) or stall below.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado# of seats won by TISZA in Hungary parliamentary election?
# of seats won by TISZA in Hungary parliamentary election?
130+ 26%
120-129 25%
110–119 18%
100–109 10%
$283,403 Vol.
$283,403 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
<70
5%
70–79
2%
80–89
9%
90–99
8%
100–109
10%
110–119
18%
120-129
25%
130+
26%
130+ 26%
120-129 25%
110–119 18%
100–109 10%
$283,403 Vol.
$283,403 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
<70
$214,760 Vol.
5%
70–79
$3,536 Vol.
2%
80–89
$3,969 Vol.
9%
90–99
$11,375 Vol.
8%
100–109
$17,413 Vol.
10%
110–119
$6,242 Vol.
18%
120-129
$5,621 Vol.
25%
130+
$20,610 Vol.
26%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices TISZA's seats in the April 12 parliamentary election tightly around 110–130, reflecting poll divergence amid Hungary's mixed electoral system of 106 first-past-the-post single-member districts—where incumbent Fidesz holds rural strongholds—and 93 proportional list seats allocated via D'Hondt method above a 5% threshold. Independent polls like Medián's March 25 survey show TISZA leading Fidesz 58–35% among decided voters, widening to a 23-point gap, while government-aligned Nézőpont gives Fidesz a slim edge post-Peace March rally. Undecided voters, turnout differentials favoring Fidesz base, and historical incumbent overperformance in districts keep the race competitive; final rallies, endorsements, or regional shifts could push TISZA toward majority (100 seats) or stall below.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Mercado abierto: Mar 13, 2026, 1:26 PM ET
Volumen
$283,403Fecha de finalización
Apr 12, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 13, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices TISZA's seats in the April 12 parliamentary election tightly around 110–130, reflecting poll divergence amid Hungary's mixed electoral system of 106 first-past-the-post single-member districts—where incumbent Fidesz holds rural strongholds—and 93 proportional list seats allocated via D'Hondt method above a 5% threshold. Independent polls like Medián's March 25 survey show TISZA leading Fidesz 58–35% among decided voters, widening to a 23-point gap, while government-aligned Nézőpont gives Fidesz a slim edge post-Peace March rally. Undecided voters, turnout differentials favoring Fidesz base, and historical incumbent overperformance in districts keep the race competitive; final rallies, endorsements, or regional shifts could push TISZA toward majority (100 seats) or stall below.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volumen
$283,403Fecha de finalización
Apr 12, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 13, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices TISZA's seats in the April 12 parliamentary election tightly around 110–130, reflecting poll divergence amid Hungary's mixed electoral system of 106 first-past-the-post single-member districts—where incumbent Fidesz holds rural strongholds—and 93 proportional list seats allocated via D'Hondt method above a 5% threshold. Independent polls like Medián's March 25 survey show TISZA leading Fidesz 58–35% among decided voters, widening to a 23-point gap, while government-aligned Nézőpont gives Fidesz a slim edge post-Peace March rally. Undecided voters, turnout differentials favoring Fidesz base, and historical incumbent overperformance in districts keep the race competitive; final rallies, endorsements, or regional shifts could push TISZA toward majority (100 seats) or stall below.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes