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¿Número de vuelos de EE. UU. retrasados el 29 de marzo?

Market icon

¿Número de vuelos de EE. UU. retrasados el 29 de marzo?

6,500-7,000 <1%

Polymarket

$22,385 Vol.

6,500-7,000 <1%

Polymarket

$22,385 Vol.

6,500-7,000

$1,574 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Preliminary FlightAware data confirms approximately 5,400 U.S. flights delayed 15+ minutes on arrival within, into, or out of the country on March 29, placing trader consensus firmly at 100% for under 6,000 and driving the near-total rejection of the 6,500-7,000 range. This reflects a routine operational day without nationwide disruptions like the major storms earlier in March that spiked delays above 10,000 on dates such as March 16. Localized impacts, including heavy delays at LaGuardia Airport and South Florida weather constraints, plus minor western air traffic limitations, failed to elevate the total amid stable FAA staffing and no systemic issues. Final Bureau of Transportation Statistics tallies, typically aligning closely with preliminary figures, could prompt minor adjustments, but a surge past 6,000 would require unprecedented upward revision from overlooked cancellations or data errors—scenarios traders deem negligible based on historical variance.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volumen
$22,385
Fecha de finalización
29 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.

Resultado propuesto: No

Ventana de disputas

Final

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Preliminary FlightAware data confirms approximately 5,400 U.S. flights delayed 15+ minutes on arrival within, into, or out of the country on March 29, placing trader consensus firmly at 100% for under 6,000 and driving the near-total rejection of the 6,500-7,000 range. This reflects a routine operational day without nationwide disruptions like the major storms earlier in March that spiked delays above 10,000 on dates such as March 16. Localized impacts, including heavy delays at LaGuardia Airport and South Florida weather constraints, plus minor western air traffic limitations, failed to elevate the total amid stable FAA staffing and no systemic issues. Final Bureau of Transportation Statistics tallies, typically aligning closely with preliminary figures, could prompt minor adjustments, but a surge past 6,000 would require unprecedented upward revision from overlooked cancellations or data errors—scenarios traders deem negligible based on historical variance.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volumen
$22,385
Fecha de finalización
29 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.

Resultado propuesto: No

Ventana de disputas

Final

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Número de vuelos de EE. UU. retrasados el 29 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<6,000" con 100%, seguido de "6,500-7,000" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Número de vuelos de EE. UU. retrasados el 29 de marzo?" ha generado $22.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 27, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Número de vuelos de EE. UU. retrasados el 29 de marzo?", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Número de vuelos de EE. UU. retrasados el 29 de marzo?" es "<6,000" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "6,500-7,000" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Número de vuelos de EE. UU. retrasados el 29 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.