Preliminary FlightAware data logging approximately 5,400 U.S. flight delays—defined as 15+ minutes on arrival for flights within, into, or out of the country—on March 29 has locked trader consensus at 100% implied probability for under 6,000, reflecting the wisdom of crowds with real money at stake. This follows normalized air traffic operations after mid-March storms and partial DHS shutdown pressures on TSA screening that spiked prior days' disruptions, like 6,946 delays on March 27. FAA reports show no major ground stops or widespread issues that day. Final tallies could challenge this if late-reported delays push totals above 6,000, though preliminary figures rarely revise substantially upward.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado6,500-7,000 <1%
$22,385 Vol.
$22,385 Vol.
27 mar 2026
6,500-7,000
<1%
6,500-7,000 <1%
$22,385 Vol.
$22,385 Vol.
27 mar 2026
6,500-7,000
$1,574 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Preliminary FlightAware data logging approximately 5,400 U.S. flight delays—defined as 15+ minutes on arrival for flights within, into, or out of the country—on March 29 has locked trader consensus at 100% implied probability for under 6,000, reflecting the wisdom of crowds with real money at stake. This follows normalized air traffic operations after mid-March storms and partial DHS shutdown pressures on TSA screening that spiked prior days' disruptions, like 6,946 delays on March 27. FAA reports show no major ground stops or widespread issues that day. Final tallies could challenge this if late-reported delays push totals above 6,000, though preliminary figures rarely revise substantially upward.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Volumen
$22,385Fecha de finalización
29 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Preliminary FlightAware data logging approximately 5,400 U.S. flight delays—defined as 15+ minutes on arrival for flights within, into, or out of the country—on March 29 has locked trader consensus at 100% implied probability for under 6,000, reflecting the wisdom of crowds with real money at stake. This follows normalized air traffic operations after mid-March storms and partial DHS shutdown pressures on TSA screening that spiked prior days' disruptions, like 6,946 delays on March 27. FAA reports show no major ground stops or widespread issues that day. Final tallies could challenge this if late-reported delays push totals above 6,000, though preliminary figures rarely revise substantially upward.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volumen
$22,385Fecha de finalización
29 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
Preliminary FlightAware data logging approximately 5,400 U.S. flight delays—defined as 15+ minutes on arrival for flights within, into, or out of the country—on March 29 has locked trader consensus at 100% implied probability for under 6,000, reflecting the wisdom of crowds with real money at stake. This follows normalized air traffic operations after mid-March storms and partial DHS shutdown pressures on TSA screening that spiked prior days' disruptions, like 6,946 delays on March 27. FAA reports show no major ground stops or widespread issues that day. Final tallies could challenge this if late-reported delays push totals above 6,000, though preliminary figures rarely revise substantially upward.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes