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Elecciones·Senado

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Market icon
Elecciones·Senado

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Chuck Schumer 29%

John Thune 28%

Brian Schatz 15%

Lindsey Graham 5.5%

Polymarket

$30,902 Vol.

Chuck Schumer 29%

John Thune 28%

Brian Schatz 15%

Lindsey Graham 5.5%

Polymarket

$30,902 Vol.

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Chuck Schumer

$1,644 Vol.

29%

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John Thune

$272 Vol.

34%

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Brian Schatz

$639 Vol.

15%

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Lindsey Graham

$8,314 Vol.

6%

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Amy Klobuchar

$412 Vol.

5%

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Cory Booker

$405 Vol.

5%

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John Barrasso

$297 Vol.

5%

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Mark Kelly

$629 Vol.

4%

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Tom Cotton

$192 Vol.

4%

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Steve Daines

$18,011 Vol.

4%

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Patty Murray

$87 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Trader consensus favors current Republican Majority Leader John Thune at 34% over Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer at 29% to become next Senate Majority Leader following the 2026 midterms, mirroring near-coinflip odds on Senate control where Republicans defend their slim majority amid a competitive map with battlegrounds like Georgia and Maine. Recent generic ballot polls and betting markets show Democrats surging to 47-48% implied probability of flipping the chamber, fueled by GOP vulnerabilities on issues like DHS funding deadlines and partial shutdown threats in March. Democratic challengers like Brian Schatz have gained traction at 14.5% amid speculation over post-election leadership shifts, potentially accelerated by Amy Klobuchar's gubernatorial considerations. Separation could arise from spring primaries, retirements, swing-state polling shifts, or party caucus endorsements before November.

Trader consensus favors current Republican Majority Leader John Thune at 34% over Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer at 29% to become next Senate Majority Leader following the 2026 midterms, mirroring near-coinflip odds on Senate control where Republicans defend their slim majority amid a competitive map with battlegrounds like Georgia and Maine. Recent generic ballot polls and betting markets show Democrats surging to 47-48% implied probability of flipping the chamber, fueled by GOP vulnerabilities on issues like DHS funding deadlines and partial shutdown threats in March. Democratic challengers like Brian Schatz have gained traction at 14.5% amid speculation over post-election leadership shifts, potentially accelerated by Amy Klobuchar's gubernatorial considerations. Separation could arise from spring primaries, retirements, swing-state polling shifts, or party caucus endorsements before November.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Trader consensus favors current Republican Majority Leader John Thune at 34% over Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer at 29% to become next Senate Majority Leader following the 2026 midterms, mirroring near-coinflip odds on Senate control where Republicans defend their slim majority amid a competitive map with battlegrounds like Georgia and Maine. Recent generic ballot polls and betting markets show Democrats surging to 47-48% implied probability of flipping the chamber, fueled by GOP vulnerabilities on issues like DHS funding deadlines and partial shutdown threats in March. Democratic challengers like Brian Schatz have gained traction at 14.5% amid speculation over post-election leadership shifts, potentially accelerated by Amy Klobuchar's gubernatorial considerations. Separation could arise from spring primaries, retirements, swing-state polling shifts, or party caucus endorsements before November.

Trader consensus favors current Republican Majority Leader John Thune at 34% over Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer at 29% to become next Senate Majority Leader following the 2026 midterms, mirroring near-coinflip odds on Senate control where Republicans defend their slim majority amid a competitive map with battlegrounds like Georgia and Maine. Recent generic ballot polls and betting markets show Democrats surging to 47-48% implied probability of flipping the chamber, fueled by GOP vulnerabilities on issues like DHS funding deadlines and partial shutdown threats in March. Democratic challengers like Brian Schatz have gained traction at 14.5% amid speculation over post-election leadership shifts, potentially accelerated by Amy Klobuchar's gubernatorial considerations. Separation could arise from spring primaries, retirements, swing-state polling shifts, or party caucus endorsements before November.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Next Senate Majority Leader?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "John Thune" con 34%, seguido de "Chuck Schumer" con 29%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 34¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 34% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Next Senate Majority Leader?" ha generado $30.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 23, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Next Senate Majority Leader?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Next Senate Majority Leader?" es "John Thune" con 34%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 34% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Chuck Schumer" con 29%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Next Senate Majority Leader?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.