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Finanzas·Ocultar De Nuevo

¿Nasdaq 100 (NDX) por encima de ___ a finales de 2026?

Market icon
Finanzas·Ocultar De Nuevo

¿Nasdaq 100 (NDX) por encima de ___ a finales de 2026?

dic 31

dic 31

NUEVO
31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$7,811 Vol.

Polymarket

>$38,000

$1,459 Vol.

28%

>$33,000

$1,650 Vol.

8%

>$30,000

$770 Vol.

17%

>$27,000

$1,300 Vol.

31%

>$24,000

$1,240 Vol.

49%

>$19,000

$1,392 Vol.

87%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."The Nasdaq 100 index surged to a record close of 26,672 on April 17, propelled by blockbuster Q1 earnings from AI leaders like Nvidia and Microsoft, alongside sustained capital expenditure in artificial intelligence and a steady Federal Reserve policy stance. Analyst consensus forecasts cluster around 30,000–35,000 by year-end 2026, implying robust revenue growth and margin expansion in mega-cap tech amid favorable monetary conditions and Treasury yields near 4%. Recent 6.8% weekly gains reflect trader optimism on earnings beats offsetting inflation concerns, though volatility risks linger from profit-taking. Watch ongoing Q1 reports through late April and the May FOMC for shifts in market-implied odds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volumen
$7,811
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 6, 2026, 9:37 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."The Nasdaq 100 index surged to a record close of 26,672 on April 17, propelled by blockbuster Q1 earnings from AI leaders like Nvidia and Microsoft, alongside sustained capital expenditure in artificial intelligence and a steady Federal Reserve policy stance. Analyst consensus forecasts cluster around 30,000–35,000 by year-end 2026, implying robust revenue growth and margin expansion in mega-cap tech amid favorable monetary conditions and Treasury yields near 4%. Recent 6.8% weekly gains reflect trader optimism on earnings beats offsetting inflation concerns, though volatility risks linger from profit-taking. Watch ongoing Q1 reports through late April and the May FOMC for shifts in market-implied odds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volumen
$7,811
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 6, 2026, 9:37 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Nasdaq 100 (NDX) por encima de ___ a finales de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es ">$19,000" con 87%, seguido de ">$24,000" con 49%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 87¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 87% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Nasdaq 100 (NDX) por encima de ___ a finales de 2026?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jan 7, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Nasdaq 100 (NDX) por encima de ___ a finales de 2026?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Nasdaq 100 (NDX) por encima de ___ a finales de 2026?" es ">$19,000" con 87%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 87% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es ">$24,000" con 49%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Nasdaq 100 (NDX) por encima de ___ a finales de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.