Name: ¿Nasdaq 100 (NDX) por encima de ___ a finales de 2026?
Start: 2026-01-07T02:41:48.680242Z
End: 2026-12-31T21:00:00Z

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."

>$38,000

>$30,000

>$24,000

>$33,000

>$27,000

>$19,000

Nasdaq 100 mensual O/U

¿Nasdaq 100 (NDX) por encima de ___ a finales de 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of January 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) above ___ end of January?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) above ___ end of June?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between this market’s creation and market close on the final day of trading prior to or on the listed date, any 1-minute candle for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above 50,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EDJI/.

¿El DOW alcanza los 50,000 para el 27 de febrero de 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the price of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) increases by at least the listed percentage on any single trading day between January 14 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The percentage change in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on a given trading day will be calculated by comparing the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on that day to the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on the previous trading day, as reported by the Wall Street Journal. The previous day’s closing price will be subtracted from the current day’s closing price, and then that difference will be divided by the previous day’s closing price. If the daily percentage change is negative, it will be considered a loss of that percentage in absolute terms.

Daily percentage changes will be rounded to two decimal places away from zero (e.g. a daily percentage gain of 1.995% would be considered 2.00%, and a daily percentage gain of 1.993% would be considered 1.99%)

If any relevant trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for a relevant trading day (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), this market will use the most recent official price published by the specified resolution source as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market will be the Wall Street Journal, specifically the daily CLOSE prices for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) published on the S&P 500 Index (SPX) historical prices page (https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices).

¿El índice S&P 500 ganará al menos un 2% en algún día del primer trimestre?

This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) in the first quarter of 2026 (January 1 - March 31). 

The percentage change in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) in the specified quarter will be calculated by comparing the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) for the final trading day of the quarter to the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) for the final trading day of the previous quarter, as reported by the Wall Street Journal. The closing price for the final trading day of the previous quarter will be subtracted from the closing price for the final trading day of the specified quarter, and then that difference will be divided by the closing price for the final trading day of the previous quarter.

Percentage changes will be rounded to two decimal places away from zero (e.g. a percentage change of 4.995% would be considered 5.00%, and a percentage change of 4.993% would be considered 4.99%)

If any relevant trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for a relevant trading day (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), this market will use the most recent official price published by the specified resolution source as the effective closing price.

If the percentage change in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) in the first quarter of 2026 falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the Wall Street Journal, specifically the daily CLOSE prices for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) published on the S&P 500 Index (SPX) historical prices page (https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices).

¿Será el cambio porcentual en el S&P 500 en el primer trimestre de 2026 inferior al 0%?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

¿Cortocircuito generalizado en el NYSE antes de 2027?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Krakens’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Kraken’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

¿Nasdaq 100 (NDX) por encima de ___ a finales de 2026?

>$38,000
$228 Vol.
7%

>$33,000
$290 Vol.
11%

>$30,000
$177 Vol.
20%

>$27,000
$1 Vol.
55%

>$24,000
$40 Vol.
85%

>$19,000
$114 Vol.
90%

Contexto del Mercado

¿Nasdaq 100 (NDX) por encima de ___ a finales de 2026?

Reglas

¿Nasdaq 100 (NDX) por encima de ___ a finales de 2026?

Contexto del Mercado

¿Nasdaq 100 (NDX) por encima de ___ a finales de 2026?

Acerca de

¿Nasdaq 100 (NDX) por encima de ___ a finales de 2026?

>$38,000$228 Vol.7%Comprar Sí8¢Comprar No95¢

>$33,000$290 Vol.11%Comprar Sí13¢Comprar No91¢

>$30,000$177 Vol.20%Comprar Sí26¢Comprar No86¢

>$27,000$1 Vol.55%Comprar Sí92¢Comprar No83¢

>$24,000$40 Vol.85%Comprar Sí94¢Comprar No25¢

>$19,000$114 Vol.90%Comprar Sí91¢Comprar No12¢

Contexto del Mercado

¿Nasdaq 100 (NDX) por encima de ___ a finales de 2026?

Reglas

¿Nasdaq 100 (NDX) por encima de ___ a finales de 2026?

Contexto del Mercado

¿Nasdaq 100 (NDX) por encima de ___ a finales de 2026?

Acerca de

>$38,000
$228 Vol.
7%

>$33,000
$290 Vol.
11%

>$30,000
$177 Vol.
20%

>$27,000
$1 Vol.
55%

>$24,000
$40 Vol.
85%

>$19,000
$114 Vol.
90%