The Nasdaq 100 index, currently trading around 24,000 following a 4.8% year-to-date decline as of April 2, has faced headwinds from a March correction driven by surging energy prices and persistent shelter inflation, with February 2026 CPI holding steady at 2.4% year-over-year. Trader consensus on prediction markets prices in recovery potential through year-end, anchored by resilient AI-fueled earnings growth from dominant tech constituents like Nvidia and Microsoft, alongside historical base rates showing strong rebounds post-correction. The Federal Reserve's steady 3.5%-3.75% fed funds rate target, affirmed in March, tempers multiple expansion but supports risk assets amid cooling labor pressures. Key catalysts include March CPI data on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, where any dovish signals could lift rate cut expectations and index trajectory toward analyst targets above 28,000.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Nasdaq 100 (NDX) por encima de ___ a finales de 2026?
¿Nasdaq 100 (NDX) por encima de ___ a finales de 2026?
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
>$38,000
27%
>$33,000
6%
>$30,000
9%
>$27,000
22%
>$24,000
42%
>$19,000
82%
$5,062 Vol.
>$38,000
$1,454 Vol.
27%
>$33,000
$1,248 Vol.
6%
>$30,000
$596 Vol.
9%
>$27,000
$65 Vol.
22%
>$24,000
$548 Vol.
42%
>$19,000
$1,151 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."The Nasdaq 100 index, currently trading around 24,000 following a 4.8% year-to-date decline as of April 2, has faced headwinds from a March correction driven by surging energy prices and persistent shelter inflation, with February 2026 CPI holding steady at 2.4% year-over-year. Trader consensus on prediction markets prices in recovery potential through year-end, anchored by resilient AI-fueled earnings growth from dominant tech constituents like Nvidia and Microsoft, alongside historical base rates showing strong rebounds post-correction. The Federal Reserve's steady 3.5%-3.75% fed funds rate target, affirmed in March, tempers multiple expansion but supports risk assets amid cooling labor pressures. Key catalysts include March CPI data on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, where any dovish signals could lift rate cut expectations and index trajectory toward analyst targets above 28,000.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado abierto: Jan 6, 2026, 9:37 PM ET
Volumen
$5,062Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 6, 2026, 9:37 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."The Nasdaq 100 index, currently trading around 24,000 following a 4.8% year-to-date decline as of April 2, has faced headwinds from a March correction driven by surging energy prices and persistent shelter inflation, with February 2026 CPI holding steady at 2.4% year-over-year. Trader consensus on prediction markets prices in recovery potential through year-end, anchored by resilient AI-fueled earnings growth from dominant tech constituents like Nvidia and Microsoft, alongside historical base rates showing strong rebounds post-correction. The Federal Reserve's steady 3.5%-3.75% fed funds rate target, affirmed in March, tempers multiple expansion but supports risk assets amid cooling labor pressures. Key catalysts include March CPI data on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, where any dovish signals could lift rate cut expectations and index trajectory toward analyst targets above 28,000.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volumen
$5,062Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 6, 2026, 9:37 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...The Nasdaq 100 index, currently trading around 24,000 following a 4.8% year-to-date decline as of April 2, has faced headwinds from a March correction driven by surging energy prices and persistent shelter inflation, with February 2026 CPI holding steady at 2.4% year-over-year. Trader consensus on prediction markets prices in recovery potential through year-end, anchored by resilient AI-fueled earnings growth from dominant tech constituents like Nvidia and Microsoft, alongside historical base rates showing strong rebounds post-correction. The Federal Reserve's steady 3.5%-3.75% fed funds rate target, affirmed in March, tempers multiple expansion but supports risk assets amid cooling labor pressures. Key catalysts include March CPI data on April 10 and the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, where any dovish signals could lift rate cut expectations and index trajectory toward analyst targets above 28,000.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes