With Hungary's parliamentary elections scheduled for April 12, recent polls show opposition leader Péter Magyar's Tisza party holding a consistent lead over Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP alliance, fueling trader bets on reduced incumbent seats in the 199-seat unicameral parliament. A Reuters poll on March 25 highlighted Tisza widening its advantage amid economic stagnation, high inflation eroding incomes, and voter fatigue after 16 years of Fidesz dominance, though a McLaughlin & Associates survey pegged Fidesz at 43% to Tisza's 37%. Fidesz bolstered momentum with a March 9 by-election win in Kazincbarcika. Nowcasts project Tisza at around 117 seats and Fidesz at 77, hinging on turnout in 106 single-member districts and proportional allocation of 93 list seats, with post-election coalition talks likely regardless of the popular vote winner.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoElecciones en Hungría: ¿Fidesz-KDNP gana___escaños?
Elecciones en Hungría: ¿Fidesz-KDNP gana___escaños?
$161,213 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
80+
53%
90+
38%
100+
26%
110+
19%
$161,213 Vol.
80+
$98,027 Vol.
53%
90+
$43,324 Vol.
38%
100+
$8,342 Vol.
26%
110+
$11,521 Vol.
19%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With Hungary's parliamentary elections scheduled for April 12, recent polls show opposition leader Péter Magyar's Tisza party holding a consistent lead over Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP alliance, fueling trader bets on reduced incumbent seats in the 199-seat unicameral parliament. A Reuters poll on March 25 highlighted Tisza widening its advantage amid economic stagnation, high inflation eroding incomes, and voter fatigue after 16 years of Fidesz dominance, though a McLaughlin & Associates survey pegged Fidesz at 43% to Tisza's 37%. Fidesz bolstered momentum with a March 9 by-election win in Kazincbarcika. Nowcasts project Tisza at around 117 seats and Fidesz at 77, hinging on turnout in 106 single-member districts and proportional allocation of 93 list seats, with post-election coalition talks likely regardless of the popular vote winner.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Mercado abierto: Mar 16, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Volumen
$161,213Fecha de finalización
Apr 12, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 16, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With Hungary's parliamentary elections scheduled for April 12, recent polls show opposition leader Péter Magyar's Tisza party holding a consistent lead over Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP alliance, fueling trader bets on reduced incumbent seats in the 199-seat unicameral parliament. A Reuters poll on March 25 highlighted Tisza widening its advantage amid economic stagnation, high inflation eroding incomes, and voter fatigue after 16 years of Fidesz dominance, though a McLaughlin & Associates survey pegged Fidesz at 43% to Tisza's 37%. Fidesz bolstered momentum with a March 9 by-election win in Kazincbarcika. Nowcasts project Tisza at around 117 seats and Fidesz at 77, hinging on turnout in 106 single-member districts and proportional allocation of 93 list seats, with post-election coalition talks likely regardless of the popular vote winner.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volumen
$161,213Fecha de finalización
Apr 12, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 16, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With Hungary's parliamentary elections scheduled for April 12, recent polls show opposition leader Péter Magyar's Tisza party holding a consistent lead over Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP alliance, fueling trader bets on reduced incumbent seats in the 199-seat unicameral parliament. A Reuters poll on March 25 highlighted Tisza widening its advantage amid economic stagnation, high inflation eroding incomes, and voter fatigue after 16 years of Fidesz dominance, though a McLaughlin & Associates survey pegged Fidesz at 43% to Tisza's 37%. Fidesz bolstered momentum with a March 9 by-election win in Kazincbarcika. Nowcasts project Tisza at around 117 seats and Fidesz at 77, hinging on turnout in 106 single-member districts and proportional allocation of 93 list seats, with post-election coalition talks likely regardless of the popular vote winner.
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