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Mundo·Elecciones Bolivia

Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Cochabamba (Bolivia)

Market icon
Mundo·Elecciones Bolivia

Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Cochabamba (Bolivia)

Manfred Reyes Villa 100.0%

Ronald Antonio Unzueta <1%

Rocio Alejandra Molina <1%

Luis Roberto Perrogón <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Manfred Reyes Villa 100.0%

Ronald Antonio Unzueta <1%

Rocio Alejandra Molina <1%

Luis Roberto Perrogón <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

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Ronald Antonio Unzueta

$0 Vol.

No

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Rocio Alejandra Molina

$0 Vol.

No

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Luis Roberto Perrogón

$0 Vol.

No

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Edgar Javier Rodriguez

$0 Vol.

No

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Cristian Tastaca

$0 Vol.

No

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Ramón Daza

$0 Vol.

No

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Francisco Javier Bellott

$0 Vol.

No

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Manfred Reyes Villa

$0 Vol.

Sí

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Carlos Zavaleta

$0 Vol.

No

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José Carlos Sánchez Verazaín

$0 Vol.

No

The Cochabamba mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Manfred Reyes Villa's near-certain trader consensus at 100% stems from his status as incumbent Cochabamba mayor since 2021, bolstered by consistent polling dominance—recent surveys show him above 60% support amid fragmented opposition from MAS-linked candidates like Carlos Zavaleta and independents. His administration's focus on infrastructure and security resonates in Bolivia's Valle Alto region, driving skin-in-the-game bets toward him for the next municipal cycle around 2026. Key catalysts include low challenger viability and Reyes Villa's cross-party alliances. Realistic challenges could arise from a unified MAS surge, personal scandals, or economic downturns shifting voter sentiment in this politically volatile department.

Manfred Reyes Villa's near-certain trader consensus at 100% stems from his status as incumbent Cochabamba mayor since 2021, bolstered by consistent polling dominance—recent surveys show him above 60% support amid fragmented opposition from MAS-linked candidates like Carlos Zavaleta and independents. His administration's focus on infrastructure and security resonates in Bolivia's Valle Alto region, driving skin-in-the-game bets toward him for the next municipal cycle around 2026. Key catalysts include low challenger viability and Reyes Villa's cross-party alliances. Realistic challenges could arise from a unified MAS surge, personal scandals, or economic downturns shifting voter sentiment in this politically volatile department.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
The Cochabamba mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Manfred Reyes Villa's near-certain trader consensus at 100% stems from his status as incumbent Cochabamba mayor since 2021, bolstered by consistent polling dominance—recent surveys show him above 60% support amid fragmented opposition from MAS-linked candidates like Carlos Zavaleta and independents. His administration's focus on infrastructure and security resonates in Bolivia's Valle Alto region, driving skin-in-the-game bets toward him for the next municipal cycle around 2026. Key catalysts include low challenger viability and Reyes Villa's cross-party alliances. Realistic challenges could arise from a unified MAS surge, personal scandals, or economic downturns shifting voter sentiment in this politically volatile department.

Manfred Reyes Villa's near-certain trader consensus at 100% stems from his status as incumbent Cochabamba mayor since 2021, bolstered by consistent polling dominance—recent surveys show him above 60% support amid fragmented opposition from MAS-linked candidates like Carlos Zavaleta and independents. His administration's focus on infrastructure and security resonates in Bolivia's Valle Alto region, driving skin-in-the-game bets toward him for the next municipal cycle around 2026. Key catalysts include low challenger viability and Reyes Villa's cross-party alliances. Realistic challenges could arise from a unified MAS surge, personal scandals, or economic downturns shifting voter sentiment in this politically volatile department.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Cochabamba (Bolivia)" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Manfred Reyes Villa" con 100%, seguido de "Ronald Antonio Unzueta" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Cochabamba (Bolivia)" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jan 20, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Cochabamba (Bolivia)", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Cochabamba (Bolivia)" es "Manfred Reyes Villa" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Ronald Antonio Unzueta" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Cochabamba (Bolivia)" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.