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Bolivia Presidential Election Margin of Victory

Market icon

Bolivia Presidential Election Margin of Victory

Paz by 5–10% 100.0%

Paz by 20%+ <1%

Paz by 15–20% <1%

Paz by 10–15% <1%

Polymarket

$3,138,760 Vol.

Paz by 5–10% 100.0%

Paz by 20%+ <1%

Paz by 15–20% <1%

Paz by 10–15% <1%

Polymarket

$3,138,760 Vol.

Market icon

Paz by 20%+

$183,979 Vol.

No

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Paz by 15–20%

$209,555 Vol.

No

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Paz by 10–15%

$818,336 Vol.

No

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Paz by 5–10%

$859,520 Vol.

Yes

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Paz by 0–5%

$351,206 Vol.

No

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Tuto by 0–5%

$133,848 Vol.

No

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Tuto by 5–10%

$106,891 Vol.

No

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Tuto by 10–15%

$131,956 Vol.

No

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Tuto by 15–20%

$99,456 Vol.

No

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Tuto by 20%+

$192,033 Vol.

No

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Other

$51,981 Vol.

No

A second-round (runoff) vote for the Bolivia Presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 19, 2025 This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2025 Bolivian Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the second round of the Bolivian Presidential Election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve solely based on the first official vote count released by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/). If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

A second-round (runoff) vote for the Bolivia Presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 19, 2025 This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2025 Bolivian Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the second round of the Bolivian Presidential Election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve solely based on the first official vote count released by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/). If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Bolivia Presidential Election Margin of Victory" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Paz by 5–10%" con 100%, seguido de "Paz by 20%+" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Bolivia Presidential Election Margin of Victory" ha generado $3.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 18, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Bolivia Presidential Election Margin of Victory", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Bolivia Presidential Election Margin of Victory" es "Paz by 5–10%" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Paz by 20%+" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Bolivia Presidential Election Margin of Victory" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.