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Bolivia Presidential Election Margin of Victory

Market icon

Bolivia Presidential Election Margin of Victory

Paz by 5–10% 100.0%

Paz by 20%+ <1%

Paz by 15–20% <1%

Paz by 10–15% <1%

Polymarket

$3,138,760 Vol.

Paz by 5–10% 100.0%

Paz by 20%+ <1%

Paz by 15–20% <1%

Paz by 10–15% <1%

Polymarket

$3,138,760 Vol.

Market icon

Paz by 20%+

$183,979 Vol.

No

Market icon

Paz by 15–20%

$209,555 Vol.

No

Market icon

Paz by 10–15%

$818,336 Vol.

No

Market icon

Paz by 5–10%

$859,520 Vol.

Yes

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Paz by 0–5%

$351,206 Vol.

No

Market icon

Tuto by 0–5%

$133,848 Vol.

No

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Tuto by 5–10%

$106,891 Vol.

No

Market icon

Tuto by 10–15%

$131,956 Vol.

No

Market icon

Tuto by 15–20%

$99,456 Vol.

No

Market icon

Tuto by 20%+

$192,033 Vol.

No

Market icon

Other

$51,981 Vol.

No

A second-round (runoff) vote for the Bolivia Presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 19, 2025

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2025 Bolivian Presidential Election.

For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the second round of the Bolivian Presidential Election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve solely based on the first official vote count released by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$3,138,760
Fecha de finalización
Oct 19, 2025
Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2025, 12:15 PM ET
A second-round (runoff) vote for the Bolivia Presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 19, 2025 This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2025 Bolivian Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the second round of the Bolivian Presidential Election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve solely based on the first official vote count released by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/). If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Bolivia Presidential Election Margin of Victory" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Paz by 5–10%" at 100%, followed by "Paz by 20%+" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bolivia Presidential Election Margin of Victory" has generated $3.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bolivia Presidential Election Margin of Victory," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bolivia Presidential Election Margin of Victory" is "Paz by 5–10%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Paz by 20%+" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bolivia Presidential Election Margin of Victory" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.