The record-shattering $81.4 million domestic opening for A24’s “Backrooms,” driven by viral YouTube buzz around its creepypasta origins and a $10 million budget, has established overwhelming trader consensus for a sub-$50 million second weekend at 96.8% implied probability. Horror films with outsized debuts routinely experience 50-70% drops due to front-loaded audience turnout, and early post-opening daily figures already signal steep declines consistent with genre precedent. While strong word-of-mouth or holiday timing could produce a modest hold above projections, historical patterns for similar original scares make any outcome above $50 million highly unlikely absent an unprecedented turnaround.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado"Backrooms" 2º Fin de Semana Taquilla
<50 millones 96.8%
50-55m 2.0%
>65 millones 1.0%
55-60 millones <1%
<50 millones
97%
50-55m
2%
55-60 millones
1%
60-65m
1%
>65 millones
1%
<50 millones 96.8%
50-55m 2.0%
>65 millones 1.0%
55-60 millones <1%
<50 millones
97%
50-55m
2%
55-60 millones
1%
60-65m
1%
>65 millones
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The record-shattering $81.4 million domestic opening for A24’s “Backrooms,” driven by viral YouTube buzz around its creepypasta origins and a $10 million budget, has established overwhelming trader consensus for a sub-$50 million second weekend at 96.8% implied probability. Horror films with outsized debuts routinely experience 50-70% drops due to front-loaded audience turnout, and early post-opening daily figures already signal steep declines consistent with genre precedent. While strong word-of-mouth or holiday timing could produce a modest hold above projections, historical patterns for similar original scares make any outcome above $50 million highly unlikely absent an unprecedented turnaround.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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