Recent reports from sources familiar with SpaceX's plans indicate the company favors a Nasdaq listing for its blockbuster IPO—potentially valued at $1.75 trillion—conditioned on rapid Nasdaq-100 index inclusion, a demand Nasdaq addressed with a new rule effective May 1 allowing mega-IPOs to join after 15 trading days if ranking in the top 40 by market cap. This aligns with Elon Musk's Tesla on Nasdaq and SpaceX's ongoing Starship missions boosting valuation through NASA contracts and satellite deployments. Trader consensus at 93% implied probability reflects these incentives amid IPO preparations with 21 banks, though plans could shift if NYSE offers superior terms or if direct listings emerge under "Other."
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertNASDAQ 93%
Other 5%
NYSE 2.1%
$70,790 Vol.
$70,790 Vol.
NASDAQ
93%
Other
5%
NYSE
2%
NASDAQ 93%
Other 5%
NYSE 2.1%
$70,790 Vol.
$70,790 Vol.
NASDAQ
93%
Other
5%
NYSE
2%
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent reports from sources familiar with SpaceX's plans indicate the company favors a Nasdaq listing for its blockbuster IPO—potentially valued at $1.75 trillion—conditioned on rapid Nasdaq-100 index inclusion, a demand Nasdaq addressed with a new rule effective May 1 allowing mega-IPOs to join after 15 trading days if ranking in the top 40 by market cap. This aligns with Elon Musk's Tesla on Nasdaq and SpaceX's ongoing Starship missions boosting valuation through NASA contracts and satellite deployments. Trader consensus at 93% implied probability reflects these incentives amid IPO preparations with 21 banks, though plans could shift if NYSE offers superior terms or if direct listings emerge under "Other."
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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