Trader consensus favors Pakistan at 42.5% for hosting the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting, driven by Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi's recent statement expressing openness to bilateral talks in neutral venues like Pakistan or Turkey amid ongoing indirect negotiations. This follows heightened diplomatic signaling after the US election, with Pakistan positioned as a viable intermediary due to its relations with both nations and history of mediation efforts. Turkey ranks second at 12.5% for similar neutral-ground appeal, while "No Meeting by June 30" at 19% reflects persistent bilateral tensions, sanctions, and lack of confirmed schedules despite Oman- and Qatar-facilitated channels. Absent major de-escalation or official announcements, traditional hosts like Switzerland or Oman trail, underscoring uncertainty in direct summit logistics before the market's June 30 resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWo findet das nächste diplomatische Treffen zwischen den USA und dem Iran statt?
Wo findet das nächste diplomatische Treffen zwischen den USA und dem Iran statt?
Pakistan 43%
Kein Treffen bis zum 30. Juni 19%
Türkei 12.5%
Schweiz 5.3%
$200,462 Vol.
$200,462 Vol.
Pakistan
43%
Kein Treffen bis zum 30. Juni
19%
Türkei
13%
Schweiz
5%
Ägypten
4%
Oman
4%
Katar
3%
Sonstiges
1%
VAE
1%
Andere - Naher Osten/Nordafrika
1%
USA
1%
Kasachstan
1%
Russland
<1%
Österreich
<1%
Sonstige - Europa
<1%
Iran
<1%
Irak
<1%
Saudi-Arabien
<1%
Italien
<1%
Pakistan 43%
Kein Treffen bis zum 30. Juni 19%
Türkei 12.5%
Schweiz 5.3%
$200,462 Vol.
$200,462 Vol.
Pakistan
43%
Kein Treffen bis zum 30. Juni
19%
Türkei
13%
Schweiz
5%
Ägypten
4%
Oman
4%
Katar
3%
Sonstiges
1%
VAE
1%
Andere - Naher Osten/Nordafrika
1%
USA
1%
Kasachstan
1%
Russland
<1%
Österreich
<1%
Sonstige - Europa
<1%
Iran
<1%
Irak
<1%
Saudi-Arabien
<1%
Italien
<1%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Pakistan at 42.5% for hosting the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting, driven by Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi's recent statement expressing openness to bilateral talks in neutral venues like Pakistan or Turkey amid ongoing indirect negotiations. This follows heightened diplomatic signaling after the US election, with Pakistan positioned as a viable intermediary due to its relations with both nations and history of mediation efforts. Turkey ranks second at 12.5% for similar neutral-ground appeal, while "No Meeting by June 30" at 19% reflects persistent bilateral tensions, sanctions, and lack of confirmed schedules despite Oman- and Qatar-facilitated channels. Absent major de-escalation or official announcements, traditional hosts like Switzerland or Oman trail, underscoring uncertainty in direct summit logistics before the market's June 30 resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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