Polymarket traders show tight consensus for Los Angeles metro median home value around $1.178 million on April 1, with the $1.175-1.18 million bin leading at 28.5% implied probability ahead of $1.18-1.185 million at 20.5%, reflecting closely contested positioning amid spring market dynamics. February 2026 Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) data indicated stabilization with 0.3% month-over-month gains to roughly $952,000 despite 0.5-1.9% year-over-year declines, bolstered by rising inventory (up 6.7%) and falling new listings (down 13.7%). Early March reports highlight 5% month-over-month median sale price increases, but persistent 6% mortgage rates cap demand; resolution hinges on imminent March ZHVI release, where pending sales trends and seasonal rebound could tip the narrow bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWie hoch wird der durchschnittliche Eigenheimwert im Großraum Los Angeles am 1. April sein?
Wie hoch wird der durchschnittliche Eigenheimwert im Großraum Los Angeles am 1. April sein?
1,175 - 1,18 Mio. 33%
1,18 - 1,185 Mio. 20%
1,17 - 1,175 Mio. 14%
1,185 - 1,19 Mio. 11.7%
<1,17 Mio.
12%
1,17 - 1,175 Mio.
14%
1,175 - 1,18 Mio.
30%
1,18 - 1,185 Mio.
21%
1,185 - 1,19 Mio.
12%
1,19 - 1,195 Mio.
5%
1,195 - 1,2 Mio.
2%
>1,2 Mio.
5%
1,175 - 1,18 Mio. 33%
1,18 - 1,185 Mio. 20%
1,17 - 1,175 Mio. 14%
1,185 - 1,19 Mio. 11.7%
<1,17 Mio.
12%
1,17 - 1,175 Mio.
14%
1,175 - 1,18 Mio.
30%
1,18 - 1,185 Mio.
21%
1,185 - 1,19 Mio.
12%
1,19 - 1,195 Mio.
5%
1,195 - 1,2 Mio.
2%
>1,2 Mio.
5%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/16)
Markt eröffnet: Feb 27, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/16)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders show tight consensus for Los Angeles metro median home value around $1.178 million on April 1, with the $1.175-1.18 million bin leading at 28.5% implied probability ahead of $1.18-1.185 million at 20.5%, reflecting closely contested positioning amid spring market dynamics. February 2026 Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) data indicated stabilization with 0.3% month-over-month gains to roughly $952,000 despite 0.5-1.9% year-over-year declines, bolstered by rising inventory (up 6.7%) and falling new listings (down 13.7%). Early March reports highlight 5% month-over-month median sale price increases, but persistent 6% mortgage rates cap demand; resolution hinges on imminent March ZHVI release, where pending sales trends and seasonal rebound could tip the narrow bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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