Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 91% implied probability to the $1.175–1.18 million bin for Los Angeles metro median home value on April 1, reflecting resilience in the local housing market despite national softening. February data from Redfin showed LA city median sale prices at $1.01 million (down 4.7% YoY) and FRED median listings rebounding to $1.054 million for the metro area from January's $1.025 million low, signaling stabilization amid low inventory levels (up modestly MoM but historically tight). Persistent demand from tech and entertainment sectors, coupled with limited new supply, underpins this positioning. Realistic challenges include accelerating inventory growth (Realtor.com noted 7.9% YoY rise nationally), sustained 6–7% mortgage rates curbing affordability, or softer March sales data due upon release.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWie hoch wird der durchschnittliche Eigenheimwert im Großraum Los Angeles am 1. April sein?
Wie hoch wird der durchschnittliche Eigenheimwert im Großraum Los Angeles am 1. April sein?
1,175 - 1,18 Mio. 92%
1,185 - 1,19 Mio. 11.6%
1,18 - 1,185 Mio. 9%
1,17 - 1,175 Mio. 4.5%
$3,978 Vol.
$3,978 Vol.
<1,17 Mio.
3%
1,17 - 1,175 Mio.
5%
1,175 - 1,18 Mio.
92%
1,18 - 1,185 Mio.
9%
1,185 - 1,19 Mio.
8%
1,19 - 1,195 Mio.
4%
1,195 - 1,2 Mio.
1%
>1,2 Mio.
2%
1,175 - 1,18 Mio. 92%
1,185 - 1,19 Mio. 11.6%
1,18 - 1,185 Mio. 9%
1,17 - 1,175 Mio. 4.5%
$3,978 Vol.
$3,978 Vol.
<1,17 Mio.
3%
1,17 - 1,175 Mio.
5%
1,175 - 1,18 Mio.
92%
1,18 - 1,185 Mio.
9%
1,185 - 1,19 Mio.
8%
1,19 - 1,195 Mio.
4%
1,195 - 1,2 Mio.
1%
>1,2 Mio.
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/16)
Markt eröffnet: Feb 27, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/16)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 91% implied probability to the $1.175–1.18 million bin for Los Angeles metro median home value on April 1, reflecting resilience in the local housing market despite national softening. February data from Redfin showed LA city median sale prices at $1.01 million (down 4.7% YoY) and FRED median listings rebounding to $1.054 million for the metro area from January's $1.025 million low, signaling stabilization amid low inventory levels (up modestly MoM but historically tight). Persistent demand from tech and entertainment sectors, coupled with limited new supply, underpins this positioning. Realistic challenges include accelerating inventory growth (Realtor.com noted 7.9% YoY rise nationally), sustained 6–7% mortgage rates curbing affordability, or softer March sales data due upon release.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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