Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Austin metro median home value on April 1 in the $415,000–$420,000 range at 50% implied probability, closely trailed by $410,000–$415,000 at 21%, reflecting Parcl Labs' latest real-time data hovering near $417,000 after a 7.6% year-to-date decline. February 2026 median sales prices fell to $412,000—down 3.6% year-over-year per Austin Business Journals—amid surging inventory to four months' supply and days-on-market hitting 91, the highest since 2011, enhancing buyer leverage and capping upward momentum. With prices stabilizing monthly despite softening demand from elevated mortgage rates near 6.5%, traders anticipate minimal fluctuation before the imminent resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWie hoch wird der durchschnittliche Hauswert in der Metropolregion Austin, Texas, am 1. April sein?
Wie hoch wird der durchschnittliche Hauswert in der Metropolregion Austin, Texas, am 1. April sein?
415 - 420 Tsd. 49.8%
410 - 415 Tsd. 13.8%
420 - 425 Tsd. 12.3%
405 - 410 Tsd. 12%
<400.000
7%
400 - 405 Tsd.
3%
405 - 410 Tsd.
9%
410 - 415 Tsd.
21%
415 - 420 Tsd.
50%
420 - 425 Tsd.
12%
>425k
6%
415 - 420 Tsd. 49.8%
410 - 415 Tsd. 13.8%
420 - 425 Tsd. 12.3%
405 - 410 Tsd. 12%
<400.000
7%
400 - 405 Tsd.
3%
405 - 410 Tsd.
9%
410 - 415 Tsd.
21%
415 - 420 Tsd.
50%
420 - 425 Tsd.
12%
>425k
6%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/19)
Markt eröffnet: Feb 27, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/19)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Austin metro median home value on April 1 in the $415,000–$420,000 range at 50% implied probability, closely trailed by $410,000–$415,000 at 21%, reflecting Parcl Labs' latest real-time data hovering near $417,000 after a 7.6% year-to-date decline. February 2026 median sales prices fell to $412,000—down 3.6% year-over-year per Austin Business Journals—amid surging inventory to four months' supply and days-on-market hitting 91, the highest since 2011, enhancing buyer leverage and capping upward momentum. With prices stabilizing monthly despite softening demand from elevated mortgage rates near 6.5%, traders anticipate minimal fluctuation before the imminent resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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