Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 415-420k bin at 49.3% implied probability for Austin-Round Rock metro median home value on April 1, driven by Parcl Labs Sales Price Index readings and recent MLS data showing stabilization near $418,000 as of March 26—down 1.6% year-over-year amid softening demand. February Austin Board of Realtors figures at $412,000 and Zillow Home Value Index at $424,642 reflect ongoing declines from 2025 peaks, fueled by elevated inventory (5+ months supply), widespread price cuts on listings, and persistent high mortgage rates curbing buyer activity. With resolution imminent in days, traders anticipate minimal near-term shifts absent surprise sales volume surges.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWie hoch wird der durchschnittliche Hauswert in der Metropolregion Austin, Texas, am 1. April sein?
Wie hoch wird der durchschnittliche Hauswert in der Metropolregion Austin, Texas, am 1. April sein?
415 - 420 Tsd. 49.5%
410 - 415 Tsd. 12.1%
405 - 410 Tsd. 12%
420 - 425 Tsd. 11.8%
<400.000
1%
400 - 405 Tsd.
2%
405 - 410 Tsd.
9%
410 - 415 Tsd.
12%
415 - 420 Tsd.
50%
420 - 425 Tsd.
12%
>425k
6%
415 - 420 Tsd. 49.5%
410 - 415 Tsd. 12.1%
405 - 410 Tsd. 12%
420 - 425 Tsd. 11.8%
<400.000
1%
400 - 405 Tsd.
2%
405 - 410 Tsd.
9%
410 - 415 Tsd.
12%
415 - 420 Tsd.
50%
420 - 425 Tsd.
12%
>425k
6%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/19)
Markt eröffnet: Feb 27, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/19)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 415-420k bin at 49.3% implied probability for Austin-Round Rock metro median home value on April 1, driven by Parcl Labs Sales Price Index readings and recent MLS data showing stabilization near $418,000 as of March 26—down 1.6% year-over-year amid softening demand. February Austin Board of Realtors figures at $412,000 and Zillow Home Value Index at $424,642 reflect ongoing declines from 2025 peaks, fueled by elevated inventory (5+ months supply), widespread price cuts on listings, and persistent high mortgage rates curbing buyer activity. With resolution imminent in days, traders anticipate minimal near-term shifts absent surprise sales volume surges.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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