Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the New York City median home value near $580,000 for the Parcl Labs April 1 release, with implied probabilities tightly contested at 34.4% for 580-585k and 27.6% for 575-580k, reflecting uncertainty in aggregating late-March sales data across boroughs. Recent developments, including a 4.7% year-over-year rise in New York metro median sales prices to $748,500 amid 7.1% lower transaction volume, combined with citywide inventory up nearly 10% but tight Manhattan supply and stabilizing mortgage rates near 6%, have kept pricing stable from February's 580-590k resolution. Key swing factors include outer-borough price softening versus premium demand, with resolution imminent tomorrow.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWhat will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?
What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?
575 - 580k 33.8%
580 - 585k 29.0%
585 - 590k 12.0%
590 - 595k 6.5%
$14,933 Vol.
$14,933 Vol.
<570k
1%
570 - 575k
3%
575 - 580k
28%
580 - 585k
34%
585 - 590k
12%
590 - 595k
6%
595 - 600k
1%
>600k
1%
575 - 580k 33.8%
580 - 585k 29.0%
585 - 590k 12.0%
590 - 595k 6.5%
$14,933 Vol.
$14,933 Vol.
<570k
1%
570 - 575k
3%
575 - 580k
28%
580 - 585k
34%
585 - 590k
12%
590 - 595k
6%
595 - 600k
1%
>600k
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)
Markt eröffnet: Feb 27, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the New York City median home value near $580,000 for the Parcl Labs April 1 release, with implied probabilities tightly contested at 34.4% for 580-585k and 27.6% for 575-580k, reflecting uncertainty in aggregating late-March sales data across boroughs. Recent developments, including a 4.7% year-over-year rise in New York metro median sales prices to $748,500 amid 7.1% lower transaction volume, combined with citywide inventory up nearly 10% but tight Manhattan supply and stabilizing mortgage rates near 6%, have kept pricing stable from February's 580-590k resolution. Key swing factors include outer-borough price softening versus premium demand, with resolution imminent tomorrow.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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