Market icon
Technik·Börsengänge

Wie wird der Börsengang von SpaceX bewertet?

Market icon
Technik·Börsengänge

Wie wird der Börsengang von SpaceX bewertet?

1,50-1,75 Billionen 30%

1,75–2,00 Billionen 30%

2,00–2,25T 13%

1,25-1,50 Billionen 10.1%

Polymarket

$84,562 Vol.

1,50-1,75 Billionen 30%

1,75–2,00 Billionen 30%

2,00–2,25T 13%

1,25-1,50 Billionen 10.1%

Polymarket

$84,562 Vol.

<1,25 Billionen

$52,803 Vol.

5%

1,25-1,50 Billionen

$8,222 Vol.

10%

1,50-1,75 Billionen

$4,251 Vol.

30%

1,75–2,00 Billionen

$3,516 Vol.

30%

2,00–2,25T

$3,108 Vol.

13%

2,25–2,50 Billionen

$6,249 Vol.

9%

2,50T+

$6,414 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent reports of an imminent confidential IPO filing, potentially this week and targeting up to $1.75 trillion valuation for a mid-June listing, have driven Polymarket's trader consensus into a tight contest between the 1.50-1.75T (29.5%) and 1.75-2.00T (29.5%) bins, aggregating nearly 60% implied probability for sub-$2T outcomes. This positioning stems from SpaceX's 2025 fundamentals—$16 billion revenue and $7.5 billion EBITDA, propelled by Starlink's 9,500+ satellite constellation and 97% U.S. launch dominance—plus a recent xAI merger lifting combined valuation to $1.25 trillion. Competitive moats in reusable rocketry and orbital AI synergies differentiate SpaceX, though final pricing will pivot on prospectus disclosures, investor demand, and macro risk appetite amid record $75 billion raise ambitions.

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.

The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.

Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.

If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.

If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$84,562
Markt eröffnet
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent reports of an imminent confidential IPO filing, potentially this week and targeting up to $1.75 trillion valuation for a mid-June listing, have driven Polymarket's trader consensus into a tight contest between the 1.50-1.75T (29.5%) and 1.75-2.00T (29.5%) bins, aggregating nearly 60% implied probability for sub-$2T outcomes. This positioning stems from SpaceX's 2025 fundamentals—$16 billion revenue and $7.5 billion EBITDA, propelled by Starlink's 9,500+ satellite constellation and 97% U.S. launch dominance—plus a recent xAI merger lifting combined valuation to $1.25 trillion. Competitive moats in reusable rocketry and orbital AI synergies differentiate SpaceX, though final pricing will pivot on prospectus disclosures, investor demand, and macro risk appetite amid record $75 billion raise ambitions.

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.

The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.

Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.

If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.

If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$84,562
Markt eröffnet
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wie wird der Börsengang von SpaceX bewertet?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „1,50-1,75 Billionen" mit 30%, gefolgt von „1,75–2,00 Billionen" mit 30%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 30¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 30% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wie wird der Börsengang von SpaceX bewertet?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $84.6K generiert, seit der Markt am Mar 25, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wie wird der Börsengang von SpaceX bewertet?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 7 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wie wird der Börsengang von SpaceX bewertet?" ist „1,50-1,75 Billionen" mit 30%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 30% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „1,75–2,00 Billionen" mit 30%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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