Die USA schlagen den Iran mit...?
$174,975,314 Vol.
Feb 4, 2026
5. Februar
$2,265,630 Vol.
1%
5. Februar
$2,265,630 Vol.
1%
6. Februar
$6,002,288 Vol.
2%
6. Februar
$6,002,288 Vol.
2%
7. Februar
$94,408 Vol.
5%
7. Februar
$94,408 Vol.
5%
8. Februar
$36,162 Vol.
7%
8. Februar
$36,162 Vol.
7%
9. Februar
$50,422 Vol.
8%
9. Februar
$50,422 Vol.
8%
13. Februar
$4,008,234 Vol.
12%
13. Februar
$4,008,234 Vol.
12%
20. Februar
$535,047 Vol.
18%
20. Februar
$535,047 Vol.
18%
28. Februar
$8,622,948 Vol.
28%
28. Februar
$8,622,948 Vol.
28%
31. März
$6,318,645 Vol.
39%
31. März
$6,318,645 Vol.
39%
30. Juni
$3,474,906 Vol.
49%
30. Juni
$3,474,906 Vol.
49%
Regeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Erstellt am: Jan 29, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Volumen
$174,975,314Enddatum
Jun 30, 2026Erstellt am
Jan 29, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Die USA schlagen den Iran mit...?
$174,975,314 Vol.
5. Februar
$2,265,630 Vol.
1%
6. Februar
$6,002,288 Vol.
2%
7. Februar
$94,408 Vol.
5%
8. Februar
$36,162 Vol.
7%
9. Februar
$50,422 Vol.
8%
13. Februar
$4,008,234 Vol.
12%
20. Februar
$535,047 Vol.
18%
28. Februar
$8,622,948 Vol.
28%
31. März
$6,318,645 Vol.
39%
30. Juni
$3,474,906 Vol.
49%
Über
Volumen
$174,975,314Enddatum
Jun 30, 2026Erstellt am
Jan 29, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.