US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28 41%
February 1 7.3%
February 2 5.4%
February 6 3.7%
$1,277,568 Umsatz
$1,277,568 Umsatz
January 2026
$65,248 Umsatz
3%
January 2026
$65,248 Umsatz
3%
February 1
$121,283 Umsatz
7%
February 1
$121,283 Umsatz
7%
February 2
$42,531 Umsatz
5%
February 2
$42,531 Umsatz
5%
February 3
$37,511 Umsatz
2%
February 3
$37,511 Umsatz
2%
February 4
$42,649 Umsatz
2%
February 4
$42,649 Umsatz
2%
February 5
$34,918 Umsatz
3%
February 5
$34,918 Umsatz
3%
February 6
$53,459 Umsatz
4%
February 6
$53,459 Umsatz
4%
February 7
$32,293 Umsatz
4%
February 7
$32,293 Umsatz
4%
February 8
$32,360 Umsatz
3%
February 8
$32,360 Umsatz
3%
February 9
$34,280 Umsatz
2%
February 9
$34,280 Umsatz
2%
February 10
$32,605 Umsatz
2%
February 10
$32,605 Umsatz
2%
February 11
$28,938 Umsatz
1%
February 11
$28,938 Umsatz
1%
February 12
$32,507 Umsatz
1%
February 12
$32,507 Umsatz
1%
February 13
$30,887 Umsatz
2%
February 13
$30,887 Umsatz
2%
February 14
$40,251 Umsatz
2%
February 14
$40,251 Umsatz
2%
February 15
$40,198 Umsatz
2%
February 15
$40,198 Umsatz
2%
February 16
$36,680 Umsatz
1%
February 16
$36,680 Umsatz
1%
February 17
$41,963 Umsatz
1%
February 17
$41,963 Umsatz
1%
February 18
$38,461 Umsatz
1%
February 18
$38,461 Umsatz
1%
February 19
$35,964 Umsatz
1%
February 19
$35,964 Umsatz
1%
February 20
$34,376 Umsatz
2%
February 20
$34,376 Umsatz
2%
February 21
$38,327 Umsatz
2%
February 21
$38,327 Umsatz
2%
February 22
$39,784 Umsatz
1%
February 22
$39,784 Umsatz
1%
February 23
$43,468 Umsatz
1%
February 23
$43,468 Umsatz
1%
February 24
$40,064 Umsatz
1%
February 24
$40,064 Umsatz
1%
February 25
$42,419 Umsatz
1%
February 25
$42,419 Umsatz
1%
February 26
$40,751 Umsatz
1%
February 26
$40,751 Umsatz
1%
February 27
$48,500 Umsatz
2%
February 27
$48,500 Umsatz
2%
February 28
$48,784 Umsatz
3%
February 28
$48,784 Umsatz
3%
No strike by February 28
$46,108 Umsatz
41%
No strike by February 28
$46,108 Umsatz
41%
Regeln
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If no strike could be verified under the prior rule by 48 hours after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No strike by February 28," regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Erstellt am: Jan 27, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28 41%
February 1 7.3%
February 2 5.4%
February 6 3.7%
$1,277,568 Umsatz
$1,277,568 Umsatz
January 2026
3%
February 1
7%
February 2
5%
February 3
2%
February 4
2%
February 5
3%
February 6
4%
February 7
4%
February 8
3%
February 9
2%
February 10
2%
February 11
1%
February 12
1%
February 13
2%
February 14
2%
February 15
2%
February 16
1%
February 17
1%
February 18
1%
February 19
1%
February 20
2%
February 21
2%
February 22
1%
February 23
1%
February 24
1%
February 25
1%
February 26
1%
February 27
2%
February 28
3%
No strike by February 28
41%
Über
Resolver
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