Trader consensus favors "No" at 57.5% on U.S. enactment of an AI safety bill before 2027, reflecting congressional gridlock despite the Trump administration's March 20 National AI Policy Framework urging light-touch federal legislation focused on innovation, child protections, and preemption of state laws. No comprehensive AI safety measures have advanced through House or Senate committees amid a razor-thin Republican House majority and partisan divides over regulatory scope—pro-innovation Republicans clash with Democrats pushing stricter safeguards like Sen. Bernie Sanders' March 25 data center moratorium bill. States including California and New York continue passing their own AI laws, filling the federal void, while time constraints loom ahead of the 119th Congress's end and potential lame-duck session.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertJa
$72,623 Vol.
$72,623 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$72,623 Vol.
$72,623 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus favors "No" at 57.5% on U.S. enactment of an AI safety bill before 2027, reflecting congressional gridlock despite the Trump administration's March 20 National AI Policy Framework urging light-touch federal legislation focused on innovation, child protections, and preemption of state laws. No comprehensive AI safety measures have advanced through House or Senate committees amid a razor-thin Republican House majority and partisan divides over regulatory scope—pro-innovation Republicans clash with Democrats pushing stricter safeguards like Sen. Bernie Sanders' March 25 data center moratorium bill. States including California and New York continue passing their own AI laws, filling the federal void, while time constraints loom ahead of the 119th Congress's end and potential lame-duck session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Volumen
$72,623Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus favors "No" at 57.5% on U.S. enactment of an AI safety bill before 2027, reflecting congressional gridlock despite the Trump administration's March 20 National AI Policy Framework urging light-touch federal legislation focused on innovation, child protections, and preemption of state laws. No comprehensive AI safety measures have advanced through House or Senate committees amid a razor-thin Republican House majority and partisan divides over regulatory scope—pro-innovation Republicans clash with Democrats pushing stricter safeguards like Sen. Bernie Sanders' March 25 data center moratorium bill. States including California and New York continue passing their own AI laws, filling the federal void, while time constraints loom ahead of the 119th Congress's end and potential lame-duck session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$72,623Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "No" at 57.5% on U.S. enactment of an AI safety bill before 2027, reflecting congressional gridlock despite the Trump administration's March 20 National AI Policy Framework urging light-touch federal legislation focused on innovation, child protections, and preemption of state laws. No comprehensive AI safety measures have advanced through House or Senate committees amid a razor-thin Republican House majority and partisan divides over regulatory scope—pro-innovation Republicans clash with Democrats pushing stricter safeguards like Sen. Bernie Sanders' March 25 data center moratorium bill. States including California and New York continue passing their own AI laws, filling the federal void, while time constraints loom ahead of the 119th Congress's end and potential lame-duck session.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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