Polymarket traders are pricing a modest probability for Tesla (TSLA) to close above the key threshold on March 23, driven primarily by anticipation of Q1 2025 delivery numbers expected early April, following a Q4 beat of 495,570 vehicles that propelled shares up 8% post-announcement. Recent dynamics include a post-election rally tied to Elon Musk's Trump ties boosting Optimus and FSD hype, with TSLA trading near $350 amid lower Fed funds rate (4.25-4.50%) easing auto financing. However, China EV competition and softening US demand cap upside, with implied volatility at 55% signaling swings ahead of the March 20 FOMC. Watch $360 resistance; breach could flip sentiment bullish.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert360 $
70%
370 $
50%
$380
28%
$390
9%
400 $
1%
$426 Vol.
360 $
70%
370 $
50%
$380
28%
$390
9%
400 $
1%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders are pricing a modest probability for Tesla (TSLA) to close above the key threshold on March 23, driven primarily by anticipation of Q1 2025 delivery numbers expected early April, following a Q4 beat of 495,570 vehicles that propelled shares up 8% post-announcement. Recent dynamics include a post-election rally tied to Elon Musk's Trump ties boosting Optimus and FSD hype, with TSLA trading near $350 amid lower Fed funds rate (4.25-4.50%) easing auto financing. However, China EV competition and softening US demand cap upside, with implied volatility at 55% signaling swings ahead of the March 20 FOMC. Watch $360 resistance; breach could flip sentiment bullish.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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