Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a [X]% probability that Tesla (TSLA) shares will close above [strike price, e.g., $300] at the end of the week of March 23, 2025, driven primarily by anticipation of favorable Q1 delivery numbers expected early April, which could capsize recent volatility from softening China demand and EV competition. Current TSLA trades around [current price, e.g., $340], buoyed by bullish momentum from Federal Reserve rate cut expectations post the March 18-19 FOMC meeting, where markets price in a 75% chance of a 25bps cut amid cooling inflation data. Key risks include Musk's political distractions and Cybertruck ramp-up delays; watch Friday March 28 close against the 50-day moving average for resolution cues, as real-money bets reflect heightened positioning ahead of quarter-end dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert350 $
81%
$355
74%
$360
67%
$365
59%
370 $
59%
375 $
41%
380 $
33%
$385
27%
390 $
17%
$395
19%
$400
19%
$405
15%
410 $
10%
$891 Vol.
350 $
81%
$355
74%
$360
67%
$365
59%
370 $
59%
375 $
41%
380 $
33%
$385
27%
390 $
17%
$395
19%
$400
19%
$405
15%
410 $
10%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a [X]% probability that Tesla (TSLA) shares will close above [strike price, e.g., $300] at the end of the week of March 23, 2025, driven primarily by anticipation of favorable Q1 delivery numbers expected early April, which could capsize recent volatility from softening China demand and EV competition. Current TSLA trades around [current price, e.g., $340], buoyed by bullish momentum from Federal Reserve rate cut expectations post the March 18-19 FOMC meeting, where markets price in a 75% chance of a 25bps cut amid cooling inflation data. Key risks include Musk's political distractions and Cybertruck ramp-up delays; watch Friday March 28 close against the 50-day moving average for resolution cues, as real-money bets reflect heightened positioning ahead of quarter-end dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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