Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 55% probability that Microsoft (MSFT) will close the week of March 23, 2025, above $425, driven primarily by post-FOMC market dynamics following the Federal Reserve's March 18-19 meeting, where steady rates bolstered tech amid cooling inflation data. MSFT trades at $418.50 as of Friday close, up 2.1% weekly on robust Azure cloud revenue from Q2 earnings beat in January, offsetting antitrust scrutiny over OpenAI ties. Upcoming CPI release on March 12 and PPI on March 13 could spark volatility if hotter-than-expected, pressuring Nasdaq multiples; resolution hinges on Friday March 28 close above $425, with support at $410 and resistance near $430 all-time highs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$330
99%
$340
98%
$350
90%
$360
89%
$370
73%
$380
56%
$390
35%
400 $
21%
$410
14%
$420
8%
$430
7%
$440
2%
$450
1%
$205 Vol.
$330
99%
$340
98%
$350
90%
$360
89%
$370
73%
$380
56%
$390
35%
400 $
21%
$410
14%
$420
8%
$430
7%
$440
2%
$450
1%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 55% probability that Microsoft (MSFT) will close the week of March 23, 2025, above $425, driven primarily by post-FOMC market dynamics following the Federal Reserve's March 18-19 meeting, where steady rates bolstered tech amid cooling inflation data. MSFT trades at $418.50 as of Friday close, up 2.1% weekly on robust Azure cloud revenue from Q2 earnings beat in January, offsetting antitrust scrutiny over OpenAI ties. Upcoming CPI release on March 12 and PPI on March 13 could spark volatility if hotter-than-expected, pressuring Nasdaq multiples; resolution hinges on Friday March 28 close above $425, with support at $410 and resistance near $430 all-time highs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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