The S&P 500 closed Friday, March 27, at 6,369, marking a steep 1.7% drop from the prior session and over 3.5% decline from mid-week highs near 6,600, as renewed escalation in the Iran conflict fueled risk-off sentiment and drove oil prices higher. This pullback overshadowed the Federal Reserve's March 18 decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75%, with updated projections signaling modest 2026 GDP growth of 2.4% amid persistent inflation pressures. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects downside skew, with elevated volumes on sub-6,400 bins amid heightened VIX levels. Key catalysts ahead include potential quarter-end rebalancing flows and early April nonfarm payrolls data, which could dictate the March 31 settlement amid geopolitical uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$630,678 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
↑ 8.000 $
<1%
↑ $7.500
<1%
↑ $7.300
<1%
↑ $7.200
<1%
↑ 7.100 $
1%
↑ $7.000
<1%
↑ $6.900
1%
↓ $6.300
62%
↓ $6.200
31%
↓ $6.000
6%
↓ $5.000
<1%
$630,678 Vol.
↑ 8.000 $
$0 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7.500
$36,942 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7.300
$77,434 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7.200
$5,032 Vol.
<1%
↑ 7.100 $
$40,217 Vol.
1%
↑ $7.000
$24,697 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6.900
$16,590 Vol.
1%
↓ $6.300
$111,156 Vol.
62%
↓ $6.200
$35,812 Vol.
31%
↓ $6.000
$51,495 Vol.
6%
↓ $5.000
$157,973 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed Friday, March 27, at 6,369, marking a steep 1.7% drop from the prior session and over 3.5% decline from mid-week highs near 6,600, as renewed escalation in the Iran conflict fueled risk-off sentiment and drove oil prices higher. This pullback overshadowed the Federal Reserve's March 18 decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75%, with updated projections signaling modest 2026 GDP growth of 2.4% amid persistent inflation pressures. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects downside skew, with elevated volumes on sub-6,400 bins amid heightened VIX levels. Key catalysts ahead include potential quarter-end rebalancing flows and early April nonfarm payrolls data, which could dictate the March 31 settlement amid geopolitical uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Volumen
$630,678Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed Friday, March 27, at 6,369, marking a steep 1.7% drop from the prior session and over 3.5% decline from mid-week highs near 6,600, as renewed escalation in the Iran conflict fueled risk-off sentiment and drove oil prices higher. This pullback overshadowed the Federal Reserve's March 18 decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75%, with updated projections signaling modest 2026 GDP growth of 2.4% amid persistent inflation pressures. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects downside skew, with elevated volumes on sub-6,400 bins amid heightened VIX levels. Key catalysts ahead include potential quarter-end rebalancing flows and early April nonfarm payrolls data, which could dictate the March 31 settlement amid geopolitical uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volumen
$630,678Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 closed Friday, March 27, at 6,369, marking a steep 1.7% drop from the prior session and over 3.5% decline from mid-week highs near 6,600, as renewed escalation in the Iran conflict fueled risk-off sentiment and drove oil prices higher. This pullback overshadowed the Federal Reserve's March 18 decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75%, with updated projections signaling modest 2026 GDP growth of 2.4% amid persistent inflation pressures. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects downside skew, with elevated volumes on sub-6,400 bins amid heightened VIX levels. Key catalysts ahead include potential quarter-end rebalancing flows and early April nonfarm payrolls data, which could dictate the March 31 settlement amid geopolitical uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen