Trader consensus on Polymarket pins Amazon's (AMZN) week-of-March-23 close tightly around $200-$210, with $205-$210 at 30% implied probability edging out $200-$205 (28.5%) and $210-$215 (24.5%), signaling modest upside expectations amid post-FOMC caution. Recent FOMC minutes tempered aggressive rate-cut bets, stabilizing growth stocks like AMZN after a 5% weekly gain to near $202, driven by AWS cloud dominance offsetting e-commerce margin squeezes from Temu competition. Key differentiators include Friday's U.Mich consumer sentiment print—above 76 could propel $210+ bins—versus Nasdaq rotation risks capping >$215 (under 20% aggregate); historical March volatility averages 2.5%, underscoring balanced macro tailwinds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$205-$210 31%
$200–$205 29%
$210-$215 24%
$195–$200 15%
<185 $
11%
$185-$190
11%
$190-$195
10%
$195–$200
15%
$200–$205
29%
$205-$210
31%
$210-$215
24%
215–220 $
11%
$220-$225
8%
225–230 $
11%
>230 $
8%
$205-$210 31%
$200–$205 29%
$210-$215 24%
$195–$200 15%
<185 $
11%
$185-$190
11%
$190-$195
10%
$195–$200
15%
$200–$205
29%
$205-$210
31%
$210-$215
24%
215–220 $
11%
$220-$225
8%
225–230 $
11%
>230 $
8%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket pins Amazon's (AMZN) week-of-March-23 close tightly around $200-$210, with $205-$210 at 30% implied probability edging out $200-$205 (28.5%) and $210-$215 (24.5%), signaling modest upside expectations amid post-FOMC caution. Recent FOMC minutes tempered aggressive rate-cut bets, stabilizing growth stocks like AMZN after a 5% weekly gain to near $202, driven by AWS cloud dominance offsetting e-commerce margin squeezes from Temu competition. Key differentiators include Friday's U.Mich consumer sentiment print—above 76 could propel $210+ bins—versus Nasdaq rotation risks capping >$215 (under 20% aggregate); historical March volatility averages 2.5%, underscoring balanced macro tailwinds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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