Polymarket traders heavily favor Opendoor (OPEN) closing the week of March 23 between $4.00-$5.00 (51.5% implied probability) and $5.00-$6.00 (44.5%), driven by Q4 earnings anticipation amid narrowing losses and a housing market rebound from Fed rate cuts. Recent Q3 results showed revenue of $1.15 billion (down 17% YoY but above EPS consensus) with gross margins expanding to 8.4%, signaling cost discipline and path to profitability by late 2025. Competitive pressures from Zillow and Offerpad cap upside, but Opendoor's superior transaction scale (over 4,000 homes sold quarterly) and algorithmic pricing differentiate it. Key risks include softening February existing home sales data, with trader capital betting on sustained 30-year mortgage rates below 6.5%.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$4,00-$5,00 52%
$5,00-$6,00 41%
$3,00-$4,00 32%
$6,00-$7,00 20%
<1,00 $
1%
$1,00-$2,00
1%
$2,00-$3,00
11%
$3,00-$4,00
32%
$4,00-$5,00
52%
$5,00-$6,00
41%
$6,00-$7,00
20%
$7,00–$8,00
12%
$8,00-$9,00
1%
$9,00-$10
1%
>10 $
1%
$4,00-$5,00 52%
$5,00-$6,00 41%
$3,00-$4,00 32%
$6,00-$7,00 20%
<1,00 $
1%
$1,00-$2,00
1%
$2,00-$3,00
11%
$3,00-$4,00
32%
$4,00-$5,00
52%
$5,00-$6,00
41%
$6,00-$7,00
20%
$7,00–$8,00
12%
$8,00-$9,00
1%
$9,00-$10
1%
>10 $
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders heavily favor Opendoor (OPEN) closing the week of March 23 between $4.00-$5.00 (51.5% implied probability) and $5.00-$6.00 (44.5%), driven by Q4 earnings anticipation amid narrowing losses and a housing market rebound from Fed rate cuts. Recent Q3 results showed revenue of $1.15 billion (down 17% YoY but above EPS consensus) with gross margins expanding to 8.4%, signaling cost discipline and path to profitability by late 2025. Competitive pressures from Zillow and Offerpad cap upside, but Opendoor's superior transaction scale (over 4,000 homes sold quarterly) and algorithmic pricing differentiate it. Key risks include softening February existing home sales data, with trader capital betting on sustained 30-year mortgage rates below 6.5%.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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