Official National Weather Service measurements at New York City's Central Park observatory confirm total March 2026 precipitation at 3.84 inches, driving trader consensus to 100% on the 3-4 inch outcome and resolving the market accordingly. This below-average total—compared to the 1991-2020 climatological norm of 4.3 inches—stemmed from intermittent light rain and mist events, including a peak of 1.39 inches on March 4, light snow early in the month, and scattered showers through late March, without major frontal storms or nor'easters delivering heavier accumulations. Steering patterns from a persistent upper-level ridge limited moisture influx. Realistic challenges, though unlikely post-resolution, could involve rare NOAA data audits uncovering gauge errors or liquid-equivalent adjustments from minor snowmelt.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertNiederschlag in NYC im März?
Niederschlag in NYC im März?
3-4" 100.0%
<2" <1%
2-3" <1%
4–5" <1%
$229,537 Vol.
$229,537 Vol.
<2"
Nein
2-3"
Nein
3-4"
Ja
4–5"
Nein
5-6"
Nein
>15 cm
Nein
3-4" 100.0%
<2" <1%
2-3" <1%
4–5" <1%
$229,537 Vol.
$229,537 Vol.
<2"
Nein
2-3"
Nein
3-4"
Ja
4–5"
Nein
5-6"
Nein
>15 cm
Nein
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 26, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Official National Weather Service measurements at New York City's Central Park observatory confirm total March 2026 precipitation at 3.84 inches, driving trader consensus to 100% on the 3-4 inch outcome and resolving the market accordingly. This below-average total—compared to the 1991-2020 climatological norm of 4.3 inches—stemmed from intermittent light rain and mist events, including a peak of 1.39 inches on March 4, light snow early in the month, and scattered showers through late March, without major frontal storms or nor'easters delivering heavier accumulations. Steering patterns from a persistent upper-level ridge limited moisture influx. Realistic challenges, though unlikely post-resolution, could involve rare NOAA data audits uncovering gauge errors or liquid-equivalent adjustments from minor snowmelt.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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