Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 42% probability that Opendoor (OPEN) shares will finish the week of March 16 above $2.00, driven primarily by elevated mortgage rates above 7% stifling iBuying demand and housing inventory. OPEN trades at $1.88 mid-session, down 3% today after Q4 earnings revealed $1.12B revenue beating estimates but a $392M net loss amid high operating costs. Weak February pending home sales data adds pressure, with trader sentiment anchored to March 12 CPI release and FOMC March 20—dovish signals could lift real estate proxies 5-10%. Key threshold: $1.85 close needed for upside momentum; historical weeks show 60% failure rate above $2 in high-rate environment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$3,233 Vol.
$2.00
Yes
$2.50
Yes
$3.00
Yes
$3,50
Ja
$4.00
Yes
$4.50
Yes
$5,00
Nein
$5.50
No
$6.00
No
$6.50
No
$7.00
No
$7.50
No
$8.00
No
$3,233 Vol.
$2.00
Yes
$2.50
Yes
$3.00
Yes
$3,50
Ja
$4.00
Yes
$4.50
Yes
$5,00
Nein
$5.50
No
$6.00
No
$6.50
No
$7.00
No
$7.50
No
$8.00
No
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 9, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 42% probability that Opendoor (OPEN) shares will finish the week of March 16 above $2.00, driven primarily by elevated mortgage rates above 7% stifling iBuying demand and housing inventory. OPEN trades at $1.88 mid-session, down 3% today after Q4 earnings revealed $1.12B revenue beating estimates but a $392M net loss amid high operating costs. Weak February pending home sales data adds pressure, with trader sentiment anchored to March 12 CPI release and FOMC March 20—dovish signals could lift real estate proxies 5-10%. Key threshold: $1.85 close needed for upside momentum; historical weeks show 60% failure rate above $2 in high-rate environment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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