Adrian Boafo leads the June 23 Democratic primary for Maryland’s open 5th Congressional District seat, vacated by longtime Rep. Steny Hoyer, with trader consensus placing him well ahead of Harry Dunn and the crowded field of over 20 candidates. Hoyer’s endorsement and substantial outside spending from crypto- and AIPAC-linked super PACs have bolstered Boafo’s position as a sitting state delegate, providing a resource advantage in the final days. Rivals Dunn, Quincy Bareebe, and Rushern Baker III have jointly criticized the influx of roughly $8 million in independent expenditures as “dark money,” highlighting potential voter backlash in Prince George’s County and Southern Maryland precincts. Fundraising reports show Dunn built a sizable personal war chest without corporate PAC support, yet the spending disparity and establishment backing continue to shape implied probabilities ahead of the primary.