Israel x Iran Waffenruhe gebrochen durch...?
Israel x Iran Waffenruhe gebrochen durch...?
$5,053,667 Vol.
Jul 31, 2025
27. Juni
Nein
11. Juli
Nein
31. Juli
Nein
31. August
Nein
30. September
Nein
31. Oktober
Nein
31. Dezember
Nein
31. März 2026
Ja
30. Juni 2026
Ja
$5,053,667 Vol.
27. Juni
$209,119 Vol.
Nein
11. Juli
$410,444 Vol.
Nein
31. Juli
$157,520 Vol.
Nein
31. August
$334,324 Vol.
Nein
30. September
$431,464 Vol.
Nein
31. Oktober
$839,695 Vol.
Nein
31. Dezember
$1,078,690 Vol.
Nein
31. März 2026
$1,378,471 Vol.
Ja
30. Juni 2026
$213,942 Vol.
Ja
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate, or Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Israeli soil or any official Israeli embassy or consulate, by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli or Iranian military forces that impact the other party’s ground territory or any official embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, or an Israeli air base is hit by an Iranian drone, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the relevant government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on the opposing party’s territory or cause damage.This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate, or Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Israeli soil or any official Israeli embassy or consulate, by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli or Iranian military forces that impact the other party’s ground territory or any official embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, or an Israeli air base is hit by an Iranian drone, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the relevant government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on the opposing party’s territory or cause damage.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli or Iranian military forces that impact the other party’s ground territory or any official embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, or an Israeli air base is hit by an Iranian drone, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the relevant government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on the opposing party’s territory or cause damage.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 30, 2025, 2:07 PM ET
Volumen
$5,053,667Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 30, 2025, 2:07 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Frequently Asked Questions