Iran leader end of 2026?
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei 23.8%
Reza Pahlavi 18%
Masoud Pezeshkian 13%
No Head of State 9.9%
$207,997 Vol.
$207,997 Vol.
Mojtaba Khamenei
24%
Reza Pahlavi
18%
Masoud Pezeshkian
13%
No Head of State
10%
Alireza Arafi
5%
Ali Larijani
3%
Mohsen Araki
2%
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
2%
Hassan Rouhani
1%
Muhammad Mirbaqiri
1%
Hassan Khomeini
1%
Sadegh Larijani
1%
Reza Pirzadeh
1%
Massoud Rajavi
1%
Navid Shomali
1%
Saeed Jalili
1%
Abbas Araghchi
1%
Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani
<1%
Seyed Hossein Mousavian
<1%
Sadegh Mahsouli
<1%
Ali Asghar Hejazi
<1%
Maryam Rajavi
<1%
Mustafa Hijri
<1%
Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel
<1%
Mostafa Pourmohammadi
<1%
Hassan Shariatmadari
<1%
Mohammad Khatami
<1%
Ali Motahari
<1%
Nasir Hosseini
<1%
Ahmad Vahidi
<1%
Mojtaba Khamenei 23.8%
Reza Pahlavi 18%
Masoud Pezeshkian 13%
No Head of State 9.9%
$207,997 Vol.
$207,997 Vol.
Mojtaba Khamenei
24%
Reza Pahlavi
18%
Masoud Pezeshkian
13%
No Head of State
10%
Alireza Arafi
5%
Ali Larijani
3%
Mohsen Araki
2%
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
2%
Hassan Rouhani
1%
Muhammad Mirbaqiri
1%
Hassan Khomeini
1%
Sadegh Larijani
1%
Reza Pirzadeh
1%
Massoud Rajavi
1%
Navid Shomali
1%
Saeed Jalili
1%
Abbas Araghchi
1%
Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani
<1%
Seyed Hossein Mousavian
<1%
Sadegh Mahsouli
<1%
Ali Asghar Hejazi
<1%
Maryam Rajavi
<1%
Mustafa Hijri
<1%
Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel
<1%
Mostafa Pourmohammadi
<1%
Hassan Shariatmadari
<1%
Mohammad Khatami
<1%
Ali Motahari
<1%
Nasir Hosseini
<1%
Ahmad Vahidi
<1%
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 28, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Frequently Asked Questions