Trader consensus prices Fidesz-KDNP at 69.5% to finish second in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election national list vote, reflecting recent independent polls like Medián's late-March survey showing TISZA ahead 58-35% among decided voters and widening leads reported April 1 by outlets citing Telex data. Pro-government polls from Nézőpont post-Peace March claim Fidesz leads, underscoring partisan polling divides. TISZA's 30% odds for second imply a plausible Fidesz first-place scenario, fueled by the incumbent's edge in single-member districts under Hungary's mixed system. Fragmentation sidelines MSZP, DK, and others below 1%, with turnout and final rallies pivotal amid economic discontent and foreign policy debates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHungary Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Hungary Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Fidesz-KDNP 70%
TISZA 30%
MSZP <1%
LMP <1%
$85,433 Vol.
$85,433 Vol.
12. Apr. 2026
Fidesz-KDNP
70%
TISZA
30%
MSZP
1%
LMP
<1%
DK
<1%
Mi Hazánk
<1%
Momentum
<1%
Párbeszéd
<1%
Jobbik
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP 70%
TISZA 30%
MSZP <1%
LMP <1%
$85,433 Vol.
$85,433 Vol.
12. Apr. 2026
Fidesz-KDNP
$16,671 Vol.
70%
TISZA
$15,038 Vol.
30%
MSZP
$13,764 Vol.
1%
LMP
$2,596 Vol.
<1%
DK
$2,962 Vol.
<1%
Mi Hazánk
$27,148 Vol.
<1%
Momentum
$2,271 Vol.
<1%
Párbeszéd
$2,536 Vol.
<1%
Jobbik
$2,447 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.Trader consensus prices Fidesz-KDNP at 69.5% to finish second in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election national list vote, reflecting recent independent polls like Medián's late-March survey showing TISZA ahead 58-35% among decided voters and widening leads reported April 1 by outlets citing Telex data. Pro-government polls from Nézőpont post-Peace March claim Fidesz leads, underscoring partisan polling divides. TISZA's 30% odds for second imply a plausible Fidesz first-place scenario, fueled by the incumbent's edge in single-member districts under Hungary's mixed system. Fragmentation sidelines MSZP, DK, and others below 1%, with turnout and final rallies pivotal amid economic discontent and foreign policy debates.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
Volumen
$85,433Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.Trader consensus prices Fidesz-KDNP at 69.5% to finish second in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election national list vote, reflecting recent independent polls like Medián's late-March survey showing TISZA ahead 58-35% among decided voters and widening leads reported April 1 by outlets citing Telex data. Pro-government polls from Nézőpont post-Peace March claim Fidesz leads, underscoring partisan polling divides. TISZA's 30% odds for second imply a plausible Fidesz first-place scenario, fueled by the incumbent's edge in single-member districts under Hungary's mixed system. Fragmentation sidelines MSZP, DK, and others below 1%, with turnout and final rallies pivotal amid economic discontent and foreign policy debates.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
Volumen
$85,433Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Fidesz-KDNP at 69.5% to finish second in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election national list vote, reflecting recent independent polls like Medián's late-March survey showing TISZA ahead 58-35% among decided voters and widening leads reported April 1 by outlets citing Telex data. Pro-government polls from Nézőpont post-Peace March claim Fidesz leads, underscoring partisan polling divides. TISZA's 30% odds for second imply a plausible Fidesz first-place scenario, fueled by the incumbent's edge in single-member districts under Hungary's mixed system. Fragmentation sidelines MSZP, DK, and others below 1%, with turnout and final rallies pivotal amid economic discontent and foreign policy debates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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