The 10-year Treasury yield has stabilized around 4.35% as of March 31, 2026, down from 4.44% late last week, amid trader sentiment weighing steady February CPI inflation at 2.4% year-over-year against a sharp -92,000 contraction in nonfarm payrolls that signaled labor market softening. The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following its March 17-18 FOMC meeting, emphasizing data-dependent policy amid balanced risks to maximum employment and 2% inflation. Fed funds futures imply limited easing through mid-2026, but upcoming March CPI (April 10), April payrolls, and the April 28-29 FOMC could catalyze cuts if downside surprises emerge, potentially pressuring yields lower before year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$180,375 Vol.
3,9 %
67%
3,8 %
55%
3,7 %
40%
3,6 %
32%
3,5 %
19%
3,0 %
15%
2,0 %
9%
1,0 %
6%
$180,375 Vol.
3,9 %
67%
3,8 %
55%
3,7 %
40%
3,6 %
32%
3,5 %
19%
3,0 %
15%
2,0 %
9%
1,0 %
6%
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Markt eröffnet: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield has stabilized around 4.35% as of March 31, 2026, down from 4.44% late last week, amid trader sentiment weighing steady February CPI inflation at 2.4% year-over-year against a sharp -92,000 contraction in nonfarm payrolls that signaled labor market softening. The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following its March 17-18 FOMC meeting, emphasizing data-dependent policy amid balanced risks to maximum employment and 2% inflation. Fed funds futures imply limited easing through mid-2026, but upcoming March CPI (April 10), April payrolls, and the April 28-29 FOMC could catalyze cuts if downside surprises emerge, potentially pressuring yields lower before year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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