Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of exactly 10°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on April 1, backed by Environment Canada's official hourly observations showing that precise maximum amid persistent cloud cover and northerly winds gusting to 20 km/h, which capped daytime heating after an overnight start near 9°C. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from the Canadian Meteorological Centre's models, which projected highs near 10°C under a cool air mass influenced by a lingering high-pressure ridge over the Great Lakes region—consistent with early April climatology where average highs hover around 11°C but variability from synoptic patterns often yields such outcomes. With data now verified from the airport's automated sensors, no realistic scenarios challenge this positioning barring rare post hoc revisions from quality control audits.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 1. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Toronto am 1. April?
10°C 100.0%
4°C oder darunter <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$399,779 Vol.
$399,779 Vol.
4°C oder darunter
Nein
5°C
Nein
6°C
Nein
7°C
Nein
8°C
Nein
9°C
Nein
10°C
Ja
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C oder höher
Nein
10°C 100.0%
4°C oder darunter <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$399,779 Vol.
$399,779 Vol.
4°C oder darunter
Nein
5°C
Nein
6°C
Nein
7°C
Nein
8°C
Nein
9°C
Nein
10°C
Ja
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of exactly 10°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on April 1, backed by Environment Canada's official hourly observations showing that precise maximum amid persistent cloud cover and northerly winds gusting to 20 km/h, which capped daytime heating after an overnight start near 9°C. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from the Canadian Meteorological Centre's models, which projected highs near 10°C under a cool air mass influenced by a lingering high-pressure ridge over the Great Lakes region—consistent with early April climatology where average highs hover around 11°C but variability from synoptic patterns often yields such outcomes. With data now verified from the airport's automated sensors, no realistic scenarios challenge this positioning barring rare post hoc revisions from quality control audits.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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