Trader consensus has locked in at 100% for a high of 26°C in Sao Paulo on March 19, driven by official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and airport weather stations, which recorded that exact peak amid cloudy conditions and scattered showers suppressing temperatures. This aligns with seasonal norms for autumn in the region, where March highs typically range 26-28°C, influenced by cooler southerly winds from the Atlantic. Supporting model forecasts from ECMWF and GFS had converged on this outcome days prior, reflecting accurate depiction of frontal systems. Realistic challenges would require verified data revisions from alternative stations like Campo de Marte, but INMET's standardized measurements render such shifts improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 19?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 19?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$14,485 Vol.
$14,485 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$14,485 Vol.
$14,485 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 15, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Trader consensus has locked in at 100% for a high of 26°C in Sao Paulo on March 19, driven by official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and airport weather stations, which recorded that exact peak amid cloudy conditions and scattered showers suppressing temperatures. This aligns with seasonal norms for autumn in the region, where March highs typically range 26-28°C, influenced by cooler southerly winds from the Atlantic. Supporting model forecasts from ECMWF and GFS had converged on this outcome days prior, reflecting accurate depiction of frontal systems. Realistic challenges would require verified data revisions from alternative stations like Campo de Marte, but INMET's standardized measurements render such shifts improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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