Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C outcomes, reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) Aviation Meteorological Office forecast for Incheon International Airport—the resolution station—projecting a daytime high of 13°C on April 6 under morning rain clearing to partly cloudy skies with westerly winds at 4-6 knots. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS show 1-3°C spread due to uncertainties in cloud forcing suppressing solar insolation versus potential strengthening northerly flow capping temperatures lower. Recent cooler trends over the past week, with highs of 15-21°C amid variable cloudiness, align below early April historical averages of 14°C, heightening short-range forecast divergence; updated KMA bulletins and model runs expected daily through April 5.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Seoul on April 6?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 6?
13°C 22%
14°C 21%
15°C 18%
12°C 15%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
10%
12°C
20%
13°C
22%
14°C
21%
15°C
18%
16°C
13%
17°C or higher
5%
13°C 22%
14°C 21%
15°C 18%
12°C 15%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
10%
12°C
20%
13°C
22%
14°C
21%
15°C
18%
16°C
13%
17°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C outcomes, reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) Aviation Meteorological Office forecast for Incheon International Airport—the resolution station—projecting a daytime high of 13°C on April 6 under morning rain clearing to partly cloudy skies with westerly winds at 4-6 knots. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS show 1-3°C spread due to uncertainties in cloud forcing suppressing solar insolation versus potential strengthening northerly flow capping temperatures lower. Recent cooler trends over the past week, with highs of 15-21°C amid variable cloudiness, align below early April historical averages of 14°C, heightening short-range forecast divergence; updated KMA bulletins and model runs expected daily through April 5.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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