Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 13°C at 100% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature on April 4, 2026, driven by official Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations at Munich Airport station (EDDM), which recorded a peak of 13°C around 17:00 local time amid overcast skies, light westerly winds (15 km/h), and relative humidity near 70%. Morning lows hovered at 8°C, with temperatures stabilizing below 13°C post-peak as evening cooling set in under partly cloudy conditions. This aligns with early April climatology, where average highs at the airport are 12–13°C. Realistic challenges would require a DWD data revision uncovering an unreported higher reading before midnight local time, though METAR reports confirm no such spike; final daily summaries expected shortly after resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Munich on April 4?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 4?
13°C 100.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$118,859 Vol.
$118,859 Vol.
4. Apr. 2026
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 100.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$118,859 Vol.
$118,859 Vol.
4. Apr. 2026
13°C
$14,133 Vol.
100%
14°C
$9,877 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$12,643 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$12,027 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$3,990 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,436 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$5,283 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 13°C at 100% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature on April 4, 2026, driven by official Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations at Munich Airport station (EDDM), which recorded a peak of 13°C around 17:00 local time amid overcast skies, light westerly winds (15 km/h), and relative humidity near 70%. Morning lows hovered at 8°C, with temperatures stabilizing below 13°C post-peak as evening cooling set in under partly cloudy conditions. This aligns with early April climatology, where average highs at the airport are 12–13°C. Realistic challenges would require a DWD data revision uncovering an unreported higher reading before midnight local time, though METAR reports confirm no such spike; final daily summaries expected shortly after resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Volumen
$118,859Enddatum
4. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 13°C at 100% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature on April 4, 2026, driven by official Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations at Munich Airport station (EDDM), which recorded a peak of 13°C around 17:00 local time amid overcast skies, light westerly winds (15 km/h), and relative humidity near 70%. Morning lows hovered at 8°C, with temperatures stabilizing below 13°C post-peak as evening cooling set in under partly cloudy conditions. This aligns with early April climatology, where average highs at the airport are 12–13°C. Realistic challenges would require a DWD data revision uncovering an unreported higher reading before midnight local time, though METAR reports confirm no such spike; final daily summaries expected shortly after resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$118,859Enddatum
4. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 13°C at 100% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature on April 4, 2026, driven by official Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations at Munich Airport station (EDDM), which recorded a peak of 13°C around 17:00 local time amid overcast skies, light westerly winds (15 km/h), and relative humidity near 70%. Morning lows hovered at 8°C, with temperatures stabilizing below 13°C post-peak as evening cooling set in under partly cloudy conditions. This aligns with early April climatology, where average highs at the airport are 12–13°C. Realistic challenges would require a DWD data revision uncovering an unreported higher reading before midnight local time, though METAR reports confirm no such spike; final daily summaries expected shortly after resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen