Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4 will likely range 21-24°C, mirroring the closely matched trader consensus with 21°C (22%), 23°C (19%), 22°C (18.5%), and 24°C (15.5%) leading amid inherent forecast uncertainty. This positioning follows Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional warnings of heat wave maxima up to 38°C through April 3, with post-frontal southerly winds ushering cooler, stable autumn air—historical early-April highs average 22°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability reducing insolation for lower outcomes or clearer skies enabling upper-end peaks; daily model updates and SMN bulletins will clarify steering patterns before Ezeiza Airport resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
21°C 23%
23°C 20%
22°C 19%
24°C 15%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
12%
21°C
23%
22°C
19%
23°C
20%
24°C
15%
25°C
9%
26°C
8%
27°C or higher
5%
21°C 23%
23°C 20%
22°C 19%
24°C 15%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
12%
21°C
23%
22°C
19%
23°C
20%
24°C
15%
25°C
9%
26°C
8%
27°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4 will likely range 21-24°C, mirroring the closely matched trader consensus with 21°C (22%), 23°C (19%), 22°C (18.5%), and 24°C (15.5%) leading amid inherent forecast uncertainty. This positioning follows Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional warnings of heat wave maxima up to 38°C through April 3, with post-frontal southerly winds ushering cooler, stable autumn air—historical early-April highs average 22°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability reducing insolation for lower outcomes or clearer skies enabling upper-end peaks; daily model updates and SMN bulletins will clarify steering patterns before Ezeiza Airport resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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