Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 80°F or higher at 35.5% implied probability for Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on April 4, closely trailed by 78-79°F at 26%, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble runs projecting highs of 78-82°F amid an offshore high-pressure ridge fostering above-normal temperatures following March's record heat wave cooldown. Key differentiators include marine layer persistence from weak onshore flow, which could thicken coastal stratus and cap peaks at 78-79°F, versus clearer skies and subsidence inversion breakdown enabling 80°F+. Historical early-April averages hover near 70°F, underscoring the ridge's influence. Watch for 12Z model updates and NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard forecast discussion refresh by midday April 1 for shifts in stratus burn-off timing and wind shear.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 4?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 4?
80°F or higher 35%
78-79°F 27%
76-77°F 18%
74-75°F 15%
61°F or below
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
27%
80°F or higher
35%
80°F or higher 35%
78-79°F 27%
76-77°F 18%
74-75°F 15%
61°F or below
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
27%
80°F or higher
35%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 80°F or higher at 35.5% implied probability for Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on April 4, closely trailed by 78-79°F at 26%, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble runs projecting highs of 78-82°F amid an offshore high-pressure ridge fostering above-normal temperatures following March's record heat wave cooldown. Key differentiators include marine layer persistence from weak onshore flow, which could thicken coastal stratus and cap peaks at 78-79°F, versus clearer skies and subsidence inversion breakdown enabling 80°F+. Historical early-April averages hover near 70°F, underscoring the ridge's influence. Watch for 12Z model updates and NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard forecast discussion refresh by midday April 1 for shifts in stratus burn-off timing and wind shear.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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