Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine dominates trader consensus at 87.5% implied probability for the FL-06 Republican primary on August 18, driven by his fundraising lead reported in mid-April and incumbency advantage from winning the 2025 special election. High-profile challenger Dan Bilzerian's early April entry generated buzz but elicited backlash over his non-local residency and campaign focus, with odds slipping to 7% amid recent intra-challenger disputes. Grassroots contender Aaron Baker holds 5.2% from niche America First endorsements and voter outreach, though limited funds constrain viability. Absent public polling, markets price Fine's resources and district familiarity in this Solid Republican seat.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertFL-06 republikanischer Hauptgewinner
FL-06 republikanischer Hauptgewinner
Randy Fine 88%
Dan Bilzerian 7.1%
Aaron Baker 5.2%
Alexandra Van Cleef <1%
$143,259 Vol.
$143,259 Vol.
Randy Fine
88%
Dan Bilzerian
7%
Aaron Baker
5%
Alexandra Van Cleef
<1%
Joshua Vasquez
<1%
Charles Gambaro
<1%
Ernest Audino
<1%
Randy Fine 88%
Dan Bilzerian 7.1%
Aaron Baker 5.2%
Alexandra Van Cleef <1%
$143,259 Vol.
$143,259 Vol.
Randy Fine
88%
Dan Bilzerian
7%
Aaron Baker
5%
Alexandra Van Cleef
<1%
Joshua Vasquez
<1%
Charles Gambaro
<1%
Ernest Audino
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine dominates trader consensus at 87.5% implied probability for the FL-06 Republican primary on August 18, driven by his fundraising lead reported in mid-April and incumbency advantage from winning the 2025 special election. High-profile challenger Dan Bilzerian's early April entry generated buzz but elicited backlash over his non-local residency and campaign focus, with odds slipping to 7% amid recent intra-challenger disputes. Grassroots contender Aaron Baker holds 5.2% from niche America First endorsements and voter outreach, though limited funds constrain viability. Absent public polling, markets price Fine's resources and district familiarity in this Solid Republican seat.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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