Dan Green secured the Republican nomination for Florida's 9th congressional district in the August 18, 2026 primary, finishing with 25.4% of the vote in a seven-candidate field and narrowly ahead of Ben Butler. Traders assign him near-certain probability due to certified results and projections from outlets including Decision Desk HQ, reflecting endorsements from figures such as Jim Jordan and fundraising momentum in the newly redrawn district. Other candidates, including veterans Marcus Carter and Steve Rance, received minimal support. Late recounts or certification disputes remain possible in close primaries, though current vote margins and rapid projections limit realistic paths for reversal before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertDan Green 100.0%
Marcus Carter <1%
Thomas Chalifoux <1%
Jorge Malavet <1%
$191,207 Vol.
$191,207 Vol.
17. Aug. 2026
Marcus Carter
Nein
Thomas Chalifoux
Nein
Jorge Malavet
Nein
Howard Steven Rance
Nein
Justin Story
Nein
Ben Butler
Nein
Dan Green
Ja
Jorge Martinez
Nein
Steve Rance
Nein
Dan Green 100.0%
Marcus Carter <1%
Thomas Chalifoux <1%
Jorge Malavet <1%
$191,207 Vol.
$191,207 Vol.
17. Aug. 2026
Marcus Carter
$2,955 Vol.
Nein
Thomas Chalifoux
$62,915 Vol.
Nein
Jorge Malavet
$5,021 Vol.
Nein
Howard Steven Rance
$10,668 Vol.
Nein
Justin Story
$12,109 Vol.
Nein
Ben Butler
$43,845 Vol.
Nein
Dan Green
$31,520 Vol.
Ja
Jorge Martinez
$20,665 Vol.
Nein
Steve Rance
$1,509 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Green secured the Republican nomination for Florida's 9th congressional district in the August 18, 2026 primary, finishing with 25.4% of the vote in a seven-candidate field and narrowly ahead of Ben Butler. Traders assign him near-certain probability due to certified results and projections from outlets including Decision Desk HQ, reflecting endorsements from figures such as Jim Jordan and fundraising momentum in the newly redrawn district. Other candidates, including veterans Marcus Carter and Steve Rance, received minimal support. Late recounts or certification disputes remain possible in close primaries, though current vote margins and rapid projections limit realistic paths for reversal before market resolution.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Volumen
$191,207Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Green secured the Republican nomination for Florida's 9th congressional district in the August 18, 2026 primary, finishing with 25.4% of the vote in a seven-candidate field and narrowly ahead of Ben Butler. Traders assign him near-certain probability due to certified results and projections from outlets including Decision Desk HQ, reflecting endorsements from figures such as Jim Jordan and fundraising momentum in the newly redrawn district. Other candidates, including veterans Marcus Carter and Steve Rance, received minimal support. Late recounts or certification disputes remain possible in close primaries, though current vote margins and rapid projections limit realistic paths for reversal before market resolution.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$191,207Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Dan Green secured the Republican nomination for Florida's 9th congressional district in the August 18, 2026 primary, finishing with 25.4% of the vote in a seven-candidate field and narrowly ahead of Ben Butler. Traders assign him near-certain probability due to certified results and projections from outlets including Decision Desk HQ, reflecting endorsements from figures such as Jim Jordan and fundraising momentum in the newly redrawn district. Other candidates, including veterans Marcus Carter and Steve Rance, received minimal support. Late recounts or certification disputes remain possible in close primaries, though current vote margins and rapid projections limit realistic paths for reversal before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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