Trader consensus on Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 Top 5 market heavily favors Finland at an 81% implied probability for a top-five finish, propelled by its frontrunner status in winner odds (around 30-39%) thanks to Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen's high-energy "Liekinheitin," which has dominated streaming metrics and betting precursor signals amid strong Nordic momentum from recent national finals. Greece (59%), Israel (58%), Denmark (56%), and Australia (53%) round out the leading yes shares, bolstered by Akylas's catchy "Ferto," Noam Bettan's "Michelle," Søren Torpegaard's "Før vi går hjem," and Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse," all gaining from positive TikTok virality and expert previews. Fresh semi-final running orders released this week have solidified slot advantages, while the Netherlands' last-minute withdrawal adds minor uncertainty; first rehearsals in Vienna next week and the May 12-16 Stadthalle shows loom as key catalysts amid jury-televote splits.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertEurovision 2026: Top 5
Eurovision 2026: Top 5
$54,666 Vol.

Finland
81%

Australia
53%

Greece
59%

Israel
58%

Denmark
56%

France
53%

Sweden
38%

Ukraine
35%

Italy
31%

Romania
23%

Cyprus
18%

Czechia
17%

Bulgaria
16%

Malta
15%

Moldova
14%

Lithuania
12%

Norway
12%

Latvia
10%

Poland
10%

Luxembourg
10%

Montenegro
8%

Portugal
8%

Armenia
8%

United Kingdom
7%

Croatia
7%

Germany
7%

Albania
5%

Switzerland
5%

Estonia
4%

Serbia
9%

Belgium
4%

Azerbaijan
4%

Austria
3%

San Marino
3%

Georgia
3%
$54,666 Vol.

Finland
81%

Australia
53%

Greece
59%

Israel
58%

Denmark
56%

France
53%

Sweden
38%

Ukraine
35%

Italy
31%

Romania
23%

Cyprus
18%

Czechia
17%

Bulgaria
16%

Malta
15%

Moldova
14%

Lithuania
12%

Norway
12%

Latvia
10%

Poland
10%

Luxembourg
10%

Montenegro
8%

Portugal
8%

Armenia
8%

United Kingdom
7%

Croatia
7%

Germany
7%

Albania
5%

Switzerland
5%

Estonia
4%

Serbia
9%

Belgium
4%

Azerbaijan
4%

Austria
3%

San Marino
3%

Georgia
3%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 Top 5 market heavily favors Finland at an 81% implied probability for a top-five finish, propelled by its frontrunner status in winner odds (around 30-39%) thanks to Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen's high-energy "Liekinheitin," which has dominated streaming metrics and betting precursor signals amid strong Nordic momentum from recent national finals. Greece (59%), Israel (58%), Denmark (56%), and Australia (53%) round out the leading yes shares, bolstered by Akylas's catchy "Ferto," Noam Bettan's "Michelle," Søren Torpegaard's "Før vi går hjem," and Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse," all gaining from positive TikTok virality and expert previews. Fresh semi-final running orders released this week have solidified slot advantages, while the Netherlands' last-minute withdrawal adds minor uncertainty; first rehearsals in Vienna next week and the May 12-16 Stadthalle shows loom as key catalysts amid jury-televote splits.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen