Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Clayton Johnson as the clear frontrunner at 42% implied probability for The Bachelorette Season 22 winner, propelled by his high-profile backstory as Lana Del Rey's ex-fiancé and Nashville singer-songwriter appeal, which fueled pre-filming buzz and perceptions of authentic chemistry with lead Taylor Frankie Paul. Shane Parton holds second at 18.4%, riding early hype as a charismatic Atlanta private wealth planner, though recent odds drops signal fading momentum. Despite Reality Steve's March 17 spoiler naming Doug Mason (now 8.3%) as final rose recipient, traders discount it amid historical predictor misses and unverified post-filming splits. ABC's March 19 cancellation—sparked by Paul's resurfaced 2023 domestic violence video—halted the March 22 premiere, shifting bets to confirmed filming outcomes amid high uncertainty in this unbroadcast season.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertGewinner der Bachelorette-Saison 22
Gewinner der Bachelorette-Saison 22
Matt Carroll 8.4%
Doug Mason 5.8%
Casey Hux 1.0%
Michael Baba 1.0%
$140,401 Vol.
$140,401 Vol.
Matt Carroll
8%
Doug Mason
6%
Casey Hux
1%
Michael Baba
1%
Ronn Perez
1%
Shane Parton
18%
Rod Strozier
1%
Richard Van De Water
1%
Josh Harward
1%
Conrad Ukropina
1%
Aaron Kahng
1%
Malik Evans
1%
Marcus Richardson
1%
Brandon Perce
1%
Kevin Montero
<1%
Christopher Wood
<1%
Johnnie LaRossa
<1%
Brad Ledford
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
Mike Turitto
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
Clayton Johnson
42%
Matt Carroll 8.4%
Doug Mason 5.8%
Casey Hux 1.0%
Michael Baba 1.0%
$140,401 Vol.
$140,401 Vol.
Matt Carroll
8%
Doug Mason
6%
Casey Hux
1%
Michael Baba
1%
Ronn Perez
1%
Shane Parton
18%
Rod Strozier
1%
Richard Van De Water
1%
Josh Harward
1%
Conrad Ukropina
1%
Aaron Kahng
1%
Malik Evans
1%
Marcus Richardson
1%
Brandon Perce
1%
Kevin Montero
<1%
Christopher Wood
<1%
Johnnie LaRossa
<1%
Brad Ledford
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
Mike Turitto
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
Clayton Johnson
42%
The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Clayton Johnson as the clear frontrunner at 42% implied probability for The Bachelorette Season 22 winner, propelled by his high-profile backstory as Lana Del Rey's ex-fiancé and Nashville singer-songwriter appeal, which fueled pre-filming buzz and perceptions of authentic chemistry with lead Taylor Frankie Paul. Shane Parton holds second at 18.4%, riding early hype as a charismatic Atlanta private wealth planner, though recent odds drops signal fading momentum. Despite Reality Steve's March 17 spoiler naming Doug Mason (now 8.3%) as final rose recipient, traders discount it amid historical predictor misses and unverified post-filming splits. ABC's March 19 cancellation—sparked by Paul's resurfaced 2023 domestic violence video—halted the March 22 premiere, shifting bets to confirmed filming outcomes amid high uncertainty in this unbroadcast season.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen