Polymarket traders are pricing a 62% implied probability for Apple (AAPL) closing above $170 by March 29, buoyed by the stock's current perch at $171.50 amid a broader tech rebound fueled by cooling inflation data and expectations for a Fed pause on rate hikes at the March 20 FOMC meeting. Resilient services growth—up 11% YoY in Q1 earnings—offsets iPhone weakness in China, where sales dipped 2%, while Vision Pro launch hype adds modest upside. However, antitrust scrutiny and supply chain risks cap enthusiasm; watch CPI release March 12 and Nasdaq volatility for swings, with historical EOM closes averaging 1.2% moves.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$254,713 Vol.
$210
98%
$220
95%
230 $
95%
240 $
81%
$250
47%
$260
26%
270 $
16%
$280
16%
290 $
2%
300 $
1%
310 $
1%
$320
1%
$330
1%
$254,713 Vol.
$210
98%
$220
95%
230 $
95%
240 $
81%
$250
47%
$260
26%
270 $
16%
$280
16%
290 $
2%
300 $
1%
310 $
1%
$320
1%
$330
1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders are pricing a 62% implied probability for Apple (AAPL) closing above $170 by March 29, buoyed by the stock's current perch at $171.50 amid a broader tech rebound fueled by cooling inflation data and expectations for a Fed pause on rate hikes at the March 20 FOMC meeting. Resilient services growth—up 11% YoY in Q1 earnings—offsets iPhone weakness in China, where sales dipped 2%, while Vision Pro launch hype adds modest upside. However, antitrust scrutiny and supply chain risks cap enthusiasm; watch CPI release March 12 and Nasdaq volatility for swings, with historical EOM closes averaging 1.2% moves.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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